Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Górnik Zabrze (Local): 32.96%; Lech Poznań (Visitante): 40.48%; Empate: 26.55%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.77. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.75, con un valor esperado de -0.425%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -1.11%E -0.369%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 15:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -2.76%E -0.934%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -12.96%E -6.03%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.06%EV -4.07%E -1.40%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.59%EV -4.06%E -1.71%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -3.08%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -4.40%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%EV -9.72%E -4.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -3.08%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 15:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -4.40%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -11.05%E -3.30%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.72%E -4.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -0.425%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.72%E -4.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -0.425%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.72%E -4.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -0.425%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.72%E -4.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -0.425%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.72%E -4.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -0.425%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.72%E -4.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -0.425%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.72%E -4.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -0.425%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.37%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.37%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -6.05%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.425%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -6.05%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -4.87%E -2.07%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -5.74%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -6.05%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -6.08%E -2.62%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -8.66%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -6.05%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -6.38%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.12%EV -5.27%E -2.25%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -6.38%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.12%EV -5.27%E -2.25%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -6.38%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.12%EV -5.27%E -2.25%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.75%EV -6.71%E -2.37%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -8.66%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -4.87%E -2.07%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -7.70%E -3.38%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-12 15:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -12.96%E -6.03%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -5.74%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.37%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.37%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.37%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 15:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -15.03%E -4.70%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-12 15:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 03:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 15:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 15:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.05%E -3.30%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.85%EV -13.37%E -6.25%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 15:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -12.96%E -6.03%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.31%EV -10.34%E -3.80%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.46%EV -14.18%E -6.69%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -11.05%E -3.30%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-12 14:48 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -11.00%E -4.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -11.00%E -4.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -8.39%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -11.00%E -4.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -14.99%E -7.14%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-12 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -11.00%E -4.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -14.99%E -7.14%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -11.00%E -4.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -14.99%E -7.14%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -11.00%E -4.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -14.99%E -7.14%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -12.64%E -4.77%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.52%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -8.39%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.51%EV -12.64%E -4.77%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.93%EV -12.64%E -4.77%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.22%EV -12.15%E -5.60%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.85%EV -13.70%E -4.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -13.63%E -5.20%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 03:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -13.63%E -5.20%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 03:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.88%EV -13.63%E -5.20%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.02%EV -14.99%E -7.14%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.10%EV -12.37%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-09-12 15:20 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 15:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.18% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59% | 2.1% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |