Language:English
GKS Katowice v Wisła Płock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
GKS Katowice (Local)
Prediction 48.98%2.04fair odd
EV -5.46%
Edge -2.83%
Kelly -5.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.72%49.04%48.99%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.871.881.9356.18%53.60%53.19%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wisła Płock (Visit)
Prediction 25.45%3.93fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.527%
Kelly -0.711%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.17%25.44%25.45%27.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.633.603.8530.30%27.55%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.57%3.91fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.406%
Kelly -0.549%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.44%25.52%25.56%26.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.583.603.8529.41%27.96%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: GKS Katowice (Local): 48.98%; Wisła Płock (Visit): 25.45%; Draw: 25.57%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -1.56%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.70%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.92%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.38%EV -3.35%E -0.887%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -4.57%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 14:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.66%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 15:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -16.02%E -4.86%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 15:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -16.02%E -4.86%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 15:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -4.57%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -1.56%E -0.406%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 15:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.70%EV -2.28%E -0.594%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.37%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.49%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.30%E -0.868%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.49%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.30%E -0.868%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 15:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.49%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.30%E -0.868%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 15:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-23 15:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -9.66%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -9.66%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 15:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 15:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 15:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 15:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 15:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 15:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 15:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -9.66%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 15:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -5.84%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.84%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-23 15:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 15:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 15:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.52%EV -8.89%E -4.78%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -5.84%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 15:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.29%EV -8.89%E -4.78%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -13.48%E -3.96%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.38%E -5.07%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-23 15:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -3.30%E -0.868%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 15:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.40%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -7.12%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 15:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 15:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 15:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -13.48%E -3.96%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-23 15:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.01%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-23 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.83%E -6.57%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -3.30%E -0.868%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 14:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.81%EV -11.83%E -6.57%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -7.12%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.18%EV -11.83%E -6.57%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -9.66%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 25.88%EV -12.56%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-23 15:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -11.83%E -6.57%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -16.02%E -4.86%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.74%EV -12.81%E -7.20%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 15:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.74%EV -12.81%E -7.20%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.74%EV -12.81%E -7.20%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 15:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.74%EV -12.81%E -7.20%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 15:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.03%EV -12.81%E -7.20%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.30%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.02% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 25.00% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.98% | -0.0% | 2026-08-23 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 0.6% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.61% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.87% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52% | 1.8% | 2026-08-23 15:20 |