The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

GKS Katowice v Wisła Płock

2026-08-23 15:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

GKS Katowice (Local)

Prediction 48.29%2.07fair odd
EV -5.84%
Edge -3.00%
Kelly -6.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.12%48.30%48.32%49.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.911.9555.56%52.99%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wisła Płock (Visit)

Prediction 25.69%3.89fair odd
EV -5.22%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.16%25.76%25.58%27.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.503.503.6931.25%28.53%28.57%27.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.03%3.84fair odd
EV +0.204%
Edge +0.053%
Kelly +0.072%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.53%25.93%26.10%27.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.503.403.8531.25%28.56%29.41%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: GKS Katowice (Local): 48.29%; Wisła Płock (Visit): 25.69%; Draw: 26.03%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.85, producing a positive expected value of +0.204%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.84%E -3.00%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV +0.204%E +0.053%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 19:03
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -1.10%E -0.289%K -0.392%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 19:04
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -8.26%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -2.40%E -0.640%K -0.872%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 19:05
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%EV -6.81%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.62%EV -5.22%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.41%EV -3.18%E -0.855%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 18:50
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -11.38%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 19:05
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.60%EV -6.50%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.60%EV -5.26%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 19:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -8.74%E -4.62%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -6.50%E -1.79%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -5.26%E -1.45%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 19:10
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.26%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 19:00
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -13.08%E -7.27%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -15.24%E -4.62%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -8.91%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-16 18:59
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.29%E -3.80%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.25%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 17:19
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.29%E -3.80%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -6.25%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 17:20
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 18:49
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.10%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 16:50
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.12%EV -10.67%E -5.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -17.80%E -5.56%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.64%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-16 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.84%EV -11.15%E -6.06%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -12.81%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-16 18:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 47.55%EV -12.12%E -6.66%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -15.24%E -4.62%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -14.11%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-16 18:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.95%EV -11.64%E -6.36%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.22%EV -10.61%E -3.05%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.83%EV -14.89%E -4.55%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-16 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.80%EV -13.08%E -7.27%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -16.71%E -5.22%K -7.60%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-16 17:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 46.84%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.58%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.58%13.0%2026-08-16 18:50
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 47.01%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.68%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.31%16.2%2026-08-16 17:25

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.