Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

GKS Katowice v Wisła Płock

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 15:30 UTC

Score final : GKS Katowice 5–0 Wisła Płock

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

GKS Katowice (Local)

Prévision 48.98%2.04cote équitable
EV -5.46%
Avantage -2.83%
Kelly -5.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.72%49.04%48.99%51.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.781.871.881.9356.18%53.60%53.19%51.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Wisła Płock (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.45%3.93cote équitable
EV -2.03%
Avantage -0.527%
Kelly -0.711%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.17%25.44%25.45%27.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.633.603.8530.30%27.55%27.78%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.57%3.91cote équitable
EV -1.56%
Avantage -0.406%
Kelly -0.549%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.44%25.52%25.56%26.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.583.603.8529.41%27.96%27.78%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : GKS Katowice (Local) : 48.98% ; Wisła Płock (Visiteur) : 25.45% ; Match nul : 25.57%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.91. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.85, pour une espérance de -1.56% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.70%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.92%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.38%EV -3.35%E -0.887%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -4.57%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 14:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.66%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 14:50
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 14:45
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 15:04
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -16.02%E -4.86%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 15:05
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -16.02%E -4.86%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 15:05
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -4.57%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -1.56%E -0.406%K -0.549%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 15:04
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.70%EV -2.28%E -0.594%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.37%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.49%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.30%E -0.868%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.49%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.30%E -0.868%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 15:05
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.49%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.30%E -0.868%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 15:10
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 15:05
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -9.66%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -9.66%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 14:50
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 15:20
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 15:20
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 15:20
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 15:20
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 14:49
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -9.66%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -5.84%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 15:24
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.84%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 15:19
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 15:23
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 15:23
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.52%EV -8.89%E -4.78%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -5.84%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 15:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.29%EV -8.89%E -4.78%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -13.48%E -3.96%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.38%E -5.07%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 15:00
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -3.30%E -0.868%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 15:14
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.40%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -7.12%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 14:50
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 15:15
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 15:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -13.48%E -3.96%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 15:04
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.01%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.83%E -6.57%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -3.30%E -0.868%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 14:50
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.81%EV -11.83%E -6.57%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -7.12%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.18%EV -11.83%E -6.57%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -9.66%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.88%EV -12.56%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-23 15:04
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -11.83%E -6.57%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -16.02%E -4.86%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-23 15:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.74%EV -12.81%E -7.20%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.74%EV -12.81%E -7.20%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 15:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.74%EV -12.81%E -7.20%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.74%EV -12.81%E -7.20%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 15:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.03%EV -12.81%E -7.20%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.30%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-23 15:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 49.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 25.00%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.98%-0.0%2026-08-23 14:50
Matchbook◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-08-23 15:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-08-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-08-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-08-23 15:15
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.61%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.87%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%1.8%2026-08-23 15:20