Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

GKS Katowice v Wisła Płock

Início: 2026-08-23 15:30 UTC

Final: GKS Katowice 5–0 Wisła Płock

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

GKS Katowice (Local)

Previsão 48.98%2.04odd justa
EV -5.46%
Vantagem -2.83%
Kelly -5.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.72%49.04%48.99%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.871.881.9356.18%53.60%53.19%51.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wisła Płock (Visitante)

Previsão 25.45%3.93odd justa
EV -2.03%
Vantagem -0.527%
Kelly -0.711%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.17%25.44%25.45%27.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.633.603.8530.30%27.55%27.78%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.57%3.91odd justa
EV -1.56%
Vantagem -0.406%
Kelly -0.549%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.44%25.52%25.56%26.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.583.603.8529.41%27.96%27.78%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: GKS Katowice (Local): 48.98%; Wisła Płock (Visitante): 25.45%; Empate: 25.57%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.91. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.85, com valor esperado de -1.56%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.70%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.92%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.38%EV -3.35%E -0.887%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -5.46%E -2.83%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -4.57%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 14:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.66%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 14:50
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 14:45
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 15:04
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -16.02%E -4.86%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 15:05
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -16.02%E -4.86%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 15:05
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -4.57%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -1.56%E -0.406%K -0.549%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 15:04
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.70%EV -2.28%E -0.594%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.37%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.49%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.30%E -0.868%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.49%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.30%E -0.868%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 15:05
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.49%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.30%E -0.868%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 15:10
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 15:05
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -9.66%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -9.66%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 14:50
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 15:20
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 15:20
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 15:20
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -2.03%E -0.527%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 15:20
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 14:49
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -7.91%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -9.66%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -5.84%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 15:24
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -5.84%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 15:19
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 15:23
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 15:23
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.52%EV -8.89%E -4.78%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -5.84%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 15:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.29%EV -8.89%E -4.78%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -13.48%E -3.96%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.38%E -5.07%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 15:00
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -3.30%E -0.868%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 15:14
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.40%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -7.12%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-23 14:50
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 15:15
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -10.93%E -3.12%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 15:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -13.48%E -3.96%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 15:04
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.01%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.83%E -6.57%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -3.30%E -0.868%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 14:50
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.81%EV -11.83%E -6.57%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -7.12%E -1.95%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.18%EV -11.83%E -6.57%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.94%EV -9.66%E -2.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.88%EV -12.56%E -3.67%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-23 15:04
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -11.83%E -6.57%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -16.02%E -4.86%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-23 15:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.74%EV -12.81%E -7.20%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.74%EV -12.81%E -7.20%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 15:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.74%EV -12.81%E -7.20%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.74%EV -12.81%E -7.20%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -8.39%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 15:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.03%EV -12.81%E -7.20%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.30%EV -12.21%E -3.54%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-23 15:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 49.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 25.00%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.98%-0.0%2026-08-23 14:50
Matchbook◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-08-23 15:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-08-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-08-23 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-08-23 15:15
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.61%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.87%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%1.8%2026-08-23 15:20