Language:English
GKS Katowice v Radomiak Radom
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
GKS Katowice (Local)
Prediction 46.96%2.13fair odd
EV -5.13%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -5.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.64%47.08%47.00%50.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.921.952.0257.47%52.01%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Radomiak Radom (Visit)
Prediction 26.38%3.79fair odd
EV +1.58%
Edge +0.410%
Kelly +0.554%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.13%26.36%26.31%27.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.543.503.8531.25%28.28%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.65%3.75fair odd
EV -0.059%
Edge -0.016%
Kelly -0.021%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.78%26.55%26.69%27.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.503.503.7530.77%28.61%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: GKS Katowice (Local): 46.96%; Radomiak Radom (Visit): 26.38%; Draw: 26.65%. For Radomiak Radom (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -14.05%E -7.68%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV +1.58%E +0.410%K +0.554%G +0.009% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -1.39%E -0.376%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -13.12%E -7.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV +0.260%E +0.068%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -0.059%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -13.12%E -7.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV +0.260%E +0.068%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -0.059%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -13.12%E -7.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV +0.260%E +0.068%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -0.059%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -13.12%E -7.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV +0.260%E +0.068%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -0.059%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -14.05%E -7.68%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV +0.260%E +0.068%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -0.059%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -14.05%E -7.68%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV +0.260%E +0.068%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -0.059%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -14.05%E -7.68%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV +0.260%E +0.068%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -0.059%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 18:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -14.05%E -7.68%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV +0.260%E +0.068%K +0.093%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -0.059%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.81%EV -5.60%E -2.79%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -0.532%E -0.141%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70%EV -4.06%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.58%EV -14.52%E -7.98%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -1.06%E -0.282%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -1.39%E -0.376%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -15.46%E -8.59%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -1.06%E -0.282%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -2.72%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-02 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -15.46%E -8.59%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -1.06%E -0.282%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -2.72%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-02 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.59%EV -5.13%E -2.54%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.70%EV -1.32%E -0.354%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70%EV -4.06%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.59%EV -5.13%E -2.54%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.70%EV -1.32%E -0.354%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70%EV -4.06%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.76%EV -16.87%E -9.53%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -2.38%E -0.643%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -4.06%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-02 18:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.07%E -3.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.02%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.06%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 15:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.07%E -3.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.02%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 17:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.67%EV -18.28%E -10.51%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.49%EV -5.02%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -5.39%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-02 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.27%EV -7.95%E -4.06%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -5.54%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -6.07%E -3.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -6.34%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -5.39%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -8.42%E -4.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.34%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.95%E -4.06%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.34%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 18:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.97%EV -5.13%E -2.54%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.03%EV -7.39%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -2.72%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 18:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.07%E -3.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 16:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.42%E -4.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 13:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.07%E -3.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 15:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.07%E -3.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 15:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.07%E -3.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.36%E -4.85%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -7.95%E -4.06%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 17:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.42%E -4.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 15:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.42%E -4.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 18:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.42%E -4.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 18:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.07%E -3.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.29%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 16:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -6.07%E -3.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.29%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -6.07%E -3.04%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.29%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 16:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.42%E -4.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.29%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 15:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.42%E -4.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.29%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-02 15:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -7.01%E -3.54%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.29%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.30%E -5.39%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.29%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-02 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.30%E -5.39%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.29%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-02 18:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.07%EV -6.54%E -3.29%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.36%EV -11.61%E -3.47%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 16:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.04%EV -10.77%E -5.67%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -11.61%E -3.47%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-02 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.27%EV -10.30%E -5.39%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.54%EV -12.14%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.19%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-02 18:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -7.95%E -4.06%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -12.93%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.42%E -4.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.93%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-02 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.42%E -4.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.93%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-02 16:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.48%EV -10.77%E -5.67%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -12.93%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-02 17:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -10.30%E -5.39%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -12.93%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-02 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.94%EV -14.05%E -7.68%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -14.25%E -4.39%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-02 15:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.76%EV -13.12%E -7.09%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.62%EV -14.25%E -4.39%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.62%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-08-02 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -8.89%E -4.58%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -15.57%E -4.87%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-02 16:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.89% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56% | 0.4% | 2026-08-02 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-02 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-08-02 18:05 |
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