Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

GKS Katowice v Radomiak Radom

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-02 18:15 UTC

Score final : GKS Katowice 3–1 Radomiak Radom

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

GKS Katowice (Local)

Prévision 46.96%2.13cote équitable
EV -5.13%
Avantage -2.54%
Kelly -5.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.64%47.08%47.00%50.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.741.921.952.0257.47%52.01%51.28%49.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Radomiak Radom (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.38%3.79cote équitable
EV +1.58%
Avantage +0.410%
Kelly +0.554%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.13%26.36%26.31%27.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.543.503.8531.25%28.28%28.57%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.65%3.75cote équitable
EV -0.059%
Avantage -0.016%
Kelly -0.021%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.78%26.55%26.69%27.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.503.503.7530.77%28.61%28.57%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : GKS Katowice (Local) : 46.96% ; Radomiak Radom (Visiteur) : 26.38% ; Match nul : 26.65%. Pour Radomiak Radom (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.79. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.85, soit une espérance positive de +1.58%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.76%EV -14.05%E -7.68%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV +1.58%E +0.410%K +0.554%G +0.009%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -1.39%E -0.376%K -0.515%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-28 21:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -13.12%E -7.09%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV +0.260%E +0.068%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -0.059%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -13.12%E -7.09%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV +0.260%E +0.068%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -0.059%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 18:10
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -13.12%E -7.09%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV +0.260%E +0.068%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -0.059%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -13.12%E -7.09%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV +0.260%E +0.068%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -0.059%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 18:10
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -14.05%E -7.68%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV +0.260%E +0.068%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -0.059%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 18:10
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -14.05%E -7.68%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV +0.260%E +0.068%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -0.059%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 18:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -14.05%E -7.68%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV +0.260%E +0.068%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -0.059%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 18:09
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -14.05%E -7.68%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV +0.260%E +0.068%K +0.093%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -0.059%E -0.016%K -0.021%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 18:10
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.81%EV -5.60%E -2.79%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -0.532%E -0.141%K -0.192%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70%EV -4.06%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 18:05
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.58%EV -14.52%E -7.98%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -1.06%E -0.282%K -0.385%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -1.39%E -0.376%K -0.515%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -15.46%E -8.59%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -1.06%E -0.282%K -0.385%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -2.72%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -15.46%E -8.59%K -19.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -1.06%E -0.282%K -0.385%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -2.72%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.59%EV -5.13%E -2.54%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.70%EV -1.32%E -0.354%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70%EV -4.06%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 17:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.59%EV -5.13%E -2.54%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.70%EV -1.32%E -0.354%K -0.483%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70%EV -4.06%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.76%EV -16.87%E -9.53%K -21.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -2.38%E -0.643%K -0.881%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -4.06%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 18:10
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.07%E -3.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.02%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.06%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 15:39
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.07%E -3.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.02%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.67%EV -18.28%E -10.51%K -24.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.49%EV -5.02%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -5.39%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-02 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.27%EV -7.95%E -4.06%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -5.54%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 17:50
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -6.07%E -3.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -6.34%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -5.39%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 18:10
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -8.42%E -4.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -6.34%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 18:10
Bovada🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.95%E -4.06%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.34%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 18:09
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.97%EV -5.13%E -2.54%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.03%EV -7.39%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -2.72%E -0.746%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 18:10
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.07%E -3.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 16:44
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.42%E -4.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 13:30
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.07%E -3.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 15:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.07%E -3.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 15:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.07%E -3.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 15:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.36%E -4.85%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -7.95%E -4.06%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 17:50
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.42%E -4.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 15:40
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.42%E -4.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 18:03
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.42%E -4.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.66%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 18:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.07%E -3.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.29%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 16:40
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -6.07%E -3.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.29%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 16:40
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -6.07%E -3.04%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -10.29%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 16:39
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.42%E -4.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.29%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 15:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.42%E -4.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.29%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 15:35
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -7.01%E -3.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.29%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 18:10
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.30%E -5.39%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.29%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.30%E -5.39%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.29%E -3.03%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 18:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.07%EV -6.54%E -3.29%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.36%EV -11.61%E -3.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 16:40
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.04%EV -10.77%E -5.67%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -11.61%E -3.47%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-02 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.27%EV -10.30%E -5.39%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.54%EV -12.14%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.19%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-02 18:08
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.43%EV -7.95%E -4.06%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -12.93%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 16:40
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.42%E -4.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.93%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-02 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.42%E -4.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.93%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-02 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.48%EV -10.77%E -5.67%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -12.93%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -12.05%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-02 17:50
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.16%EV -10.30%E -5.39%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -12.93%E -3.92%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-02 17:50
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.94%EV -14.05%E -7.68%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -14.25%E -4.39%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -6.72%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-02 15:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.76%EV -13.12%E -7.09%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.62%EV -14.25%E -4.39%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.62%EV -13.38%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-02 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.11%EV -8.89%E -4.58%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -15.57%E -4.87%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56%0.4%2026-08-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-08-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-08-02 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-08-02 18:10
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-02 18:10
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-08-02 18:05