Language:English
GKS Katowice v Motor Lublin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
GKS Katowice (Local)
Prediction 47.18%2.12fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -0.893%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.97%47.14%47.22%48.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.961.952.0855.25%50.90%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Motor Lublin (Visit)
Prediction 27.04%3.70fair odd
EV -0.758%
Edge -0.207%
Kelly -0.284%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%27.08%27.04%28.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.343.303.6732.26%29.98%30.30%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.78%3.88fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.541%
Kelly -0.734%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.78%25.78%25.74%27.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.523.523.8032.26%28.41%28.41%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: GKS Katowice (Local): 47.18%; Motor Lublin (Visit): 27.04%; Draw: 25.78%. For Motor Lublin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.67, with an expected value of -0.758%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -1.86%E -0.893%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -1.86%E -0.893%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -1.86%E -0.893%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -1.86%E -0.893%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -2.80%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -2.80%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -2.80%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -2.80%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -2.80%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.07%EV -3.75%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 15:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -14.82%E -4.70%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.27%EV -6.10%E -3.07%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.18%EV -0.758%E -0.207%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.55%EV -3.09%E -0.821%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.58%E -3.32%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 15:43 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -6.58%E -3.32%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 15:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -6.58%E -3.32%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.25%EV -7.05%E -3.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.15%EV -8.24%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.05%E -3.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -6.44%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -8.76%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 15:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.97%EV -7.05%E -3.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.58%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -13.65%E -4.08%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -7.52%E -3.84%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 15:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -2.05%E -0.541%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 15:43 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 15:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-17 15:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.94%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.65%E -0.736%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.65%E -0.736%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -6.71%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 15:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -6.71%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 15:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.98%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.94%E -4.63%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 15:43 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -10.35%E -5.45%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -10.35%E -5.45%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -10.35%E -5.45%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -10.35%E -5.45%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -11.29%E -6.01%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-17 15:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.02%EV -11.29%E -6.01%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.36%EV -12.66%E -3.92%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.62%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.65%EV -11.29%E -6.01%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-17 15:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -11.77%E -6.29%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-17 15:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -12.71%E -6.87%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -13.65%E -7.46%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -20.10%E -6.48%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 47.50%EV -14.60%E -8.07%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.05%EV -14.94%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-17 15:43 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.89% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 0.4% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 15:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.89% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.71% | 2.4% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22% | 3.1% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |