La escuela de los momiosEspañol
GKS Katowice v Motor Lublin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
GKS Katowice (Local)
Predicción 47.18%2.12momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -0.893%
Kelly -1.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.97%47.14%47.22%48.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.811.961.952.0855.25%50.90%51.28%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Motor Lublin (Visitante)
Predicción 27.04%3.70momio equitativo
EV -0.758%
Ventaja -0.207%
Kelly -0.284%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.85%27.08%27.04%28.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.343.303.6732.26%29.98%30.30%27.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.78%3.88momio equitativo
EV -2.05%
Ventaja -0.541%
Kelly -0.734%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.78%25.78%25.74%27.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.523.523.8032.26%28.41%28.41%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -1.86%E -0.893%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -1.86%E -0.893%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -1.86%E -0.893%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -1.86%E -0.893%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| Casumo | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -2.80%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -2.80%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -2.80%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| betPARX | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -2.80%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -2.80%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.07%EV -3.75%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 16:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 15:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -14.82%E -4.70%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.27%EV -6.10%E -3.07%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.18%EV -0.758%E -0.207%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.55%EV -3.09%E -0.821%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.58%E -3.32%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 15:43 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -6.58%E -3.32%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 15:49 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -6.58%E -3.32%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.25%EV -7.05%E -3.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.15%EV -8.24%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.05%E -3.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -6.44%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -8.76%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 15:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.97%EV -7.05%E -3.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.58%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -13.65%E -4.08%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -7.52%E -3.84%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 15:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -2.05%E -0.541%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 15:43 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 15:43 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-17 15:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-17 15:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.94%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.65%E -0.736%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.65%E -0.736%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| Bovada | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -6.71%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 15:48 |
| BetUS | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -6.71%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 15:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.98%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.94%E -4.63%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 15:43 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -10.35%E -5.45%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -10.35%E -5.45%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -10.35%E -5.45%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -10.35%E -5.45%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -11.29%E -6.01%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-17 15:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.02%EV -11.29%E -6.01%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.36%EV -12.66%E -3.92%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.62%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.65%EV -11.29%E -6.01%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-17 15:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -11.77%E -6.29%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-17 15:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -12.71%E -6.87%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -13.65%E -7.46%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -20.10%E -6.48%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-17 15:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 47.50%EV -14.60%E -8.07%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.05%EV -14.94%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-17 15:43 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.89% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 0.4% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 15:49 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.89% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.71% | 2.4% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22% | 3.1% | 2026-04-17 15:45 |