L’École des cotes

GKS Katowice v Motor Lublin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-17 16:00 UTC

Score final : GKS Katowice 3–2 Motor Lublin

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

GKS Katowice (Local)

Prévision 47.18%2.12cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -0.893%
Kelly -1.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.97%47.14%47.22%48.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.811.961.952.0855.25%50.90%51.28%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Motor Lublin (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.04%3.70cote équitable
EV -0.758%
Avantage -0.207%
Kelly -0.284%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.85%27.08%27.04%28.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.343.303.6732.26%29.98%30.30%27.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.78%3.88cote équitable
EV -2.05%
Avantage -0.541%
Kelly -0.734%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.78%25.78%25.74%27.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.523.523.8032.26%28.41%28.41%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -1.86%E -0.893%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 15:30
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -1.86%E -0.893%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 15:30
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -1.86%E -0.893%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 15:30
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -1.86%E -0.893%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 15:29
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -2.80%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 15:29
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -2.80%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 15:30
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -2.80%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 15:30
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -2.80%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 15:30
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -2.80%E -1.36%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 15:29
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.07%EV -3.75%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 15:30
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 15:30
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:45
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 16:00
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 15:19
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -14.82%E -4.70%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.27%EV -6.10%E -3.07%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.18%EV -0.758%E -0.207%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.55%EV -3.09%E -0.821%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 15:45
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.58%E -3.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 15:43
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -6.58%E -3.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 15:49
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -6.58%E -3.32%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 15:44
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.25%EV -7.05%E -3.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.15%EV -8.24%E -2.31%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 15:44
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.05%E -3.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -6.44%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.18%EV -8.76%E -2.47%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 15:49
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 44.97%EV -7.05%E -3.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.58%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.45%EV -13.65%E -4.08%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-17 15:30
Codere (IT)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -7.52%E -3.84%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 15:49
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -2.05%E -0.541%K -0.734%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 15:43
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 15:34
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 15:43
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 15:30
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 15:34
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 15:35
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-17 15:45
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-17 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-17 15:45
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.94%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-17 15:30
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.65%E -0.736%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 15:44
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.65%E -0.736%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 15:45
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -6.71%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 15:48
BetUS1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -6.71%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 15:50
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.41%E -2.81%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 15:44
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.98%EV -8.46%E -4.36%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 15:45
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.94%E -4.63%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 15:43
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -10.35%E -5.45%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 15:44
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -10.35%E -5.45%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.06%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 15:44
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -10.35%E -5.45%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 15:45
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -10.35%E -5.45%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 15:45
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.09%EV -11.29%E -6.01%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.66%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-17 15:49
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.02%EV -11.29%E -6.01%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.36%EV -12.66%E -3.92%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.62%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-17 15:45
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.65%EV -11.29%E -6.01%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-17 15:49
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -11.77%E -6.29%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -16.17%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-17 15:49
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -12.71%E -6.87%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-17 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -13.65%E -7.46%K -16.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -10.76%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -20.10%E -6.48%K -9.57%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-17 15:44
NetBet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 47.50%EV -14.60%E -8.07%K -18.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.05%EV -14.94%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-17 15:43
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-04-17 15:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-04-17 15:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-04-17 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-04-17 15:49
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.71%2.4%2026-04-17 15:45
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-04-17 15:45