Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cracovia Kraków v Wieczysta Kraków

Kickoff: 2026-08-21 18:30 UTC

Final: Cracovia Kraków 3–2 Wieczysta Kraków

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cracovia Kraków (Local)

Prediction 43.40%2.30fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -3.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.89%43.45%43.28%44.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.102.102.2050.76%47.61%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wieczysta Kraków (Visit)

Prediction 28.47%3.51fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.305%
Kelly +0.425%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.44%28.43%28.66%30.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.243.233.5533.33%30.90%31.01%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.12%3.56fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.447%
Kelly -0.625%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.94%28.12%28.06%29.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.293.303.5032.79%30.43%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cracovia Kraków (Local): 43.40%; Wieczysta Kraków (Visit): 28.47%; Draw: 28.12%. For Wieczysta Kraków (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV +1.08%E +0.305%K +0.425%G +0.005%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 17:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV +1.08%E +0.305%K +0.425%G +0.005%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV +1.08%E +0.305%K +0.425%G +0.005%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 18:19
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.76%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.67%EV -0.909%E -0.261%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.57%EV -5.22%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 18:25
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.19%E -0.937%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 18:03
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.19%E -0.937%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 17:45
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.34%EV -4.95%E -2.26%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 18:23
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:20
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:19
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:20
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:20
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.69%EV -7.99%E -3.77%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -7.75%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 18:24
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 17:49
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 17:55
Bovada🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.99%E -3.77%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 17:58
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.46%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 18:24
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -7.46%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-21 17:55
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -7.46%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-21 17:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -7.46%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-21 18:20
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -8.88%E -2.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 18:15
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.88%E -2.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 17:59
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.88%E -2.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 18:24
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.88%E -2.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 18:24
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -8.88%E -2.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-21 18:00
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -7.99%E -3.77%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.31%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 18:24
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -13.20%E -6.60%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -10.31%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-21 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -14.07%E -7.10%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -10.31%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-21 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -14.07%E -7.10%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -10.31%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-21 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -14.50%E -7.36%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -10.31%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-21 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -14.50%E -7.36%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -10.31%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-21 16:39
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -11.16%E -3.58%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 17:55
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -11.16%E -3.58%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 17:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -5.39%E -2.47%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 17:55
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:25
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-21 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-21 18:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-21 18:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.22%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.16%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-21 18:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.13%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.80%EV -12.58%E -4.10%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.07%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-21 18:23
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.58%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-21 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.58%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-21 17:55
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.58%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-21 17:55
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -14.58%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-21 17:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.95%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01%-0.1%2026-08-21 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-08-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-08-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-08-21 18:25
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-08-21 18:25
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-08-21 18:25