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Cracovia Kraków v Wieczysta Kraków
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cracovia Kraków (Local)
Predicción 43.40%2.30momio equitativo
EV -4.52%
Ventaja -2.05%
Kelly -3.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.89%43.45%43.28%44.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.972.102.102.2050.76%47.61%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Wieczysta Kraków (Visitante)
Predicción 28.47%3.51momio equitativo
EV +1.08%
Ventaja +0.305%
Kelly +0.425%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.44%28.43%28.66%30.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.243.233.5533.33%30.90%31.01%28.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.12%3.56momio equitativo
EV -1.56%
Ventaja -0.447%
Kelly -0.625%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.94%28.12%28.06%29.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.293.303.5032.79%30.43%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cracovia Kraków (Local): 43.40%; Wieczysta Kraków (Visitante): 28.47%; Empate: 28.12%. Para Wieczysta Kraków (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.51. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.55, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.08%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV +1.08%E +0.305%K +0.425%G +0.005% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 17:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV +1.08%E +0.305%K +0.425%G +0.005% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV +1.08%E +0.305%K +0.425%G +0.005% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.76%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.67%EV -0.909%E -0.261%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.57%EV -5.22%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.19%E -0.937%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-21 18:03 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.19%E -0.937%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-21 17:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.34%EV -4.95%E -2.26%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 18:23 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-21 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.69%EV -7.99%E -3.77%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -7.75%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-21 17:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.99%E -3.77%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-21 17:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.46%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -7.46%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -7.46%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-21 17:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -7.46%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -8.88%E -2.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.88%E -2.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 17:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.88%E -2.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.88%E -2.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -8.88%E -2.78%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-21 18:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -7.99%E -3.77%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.31%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -13.20%E -6.60%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -10.31%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -14.07%E -7.10%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -10.31%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-21 16:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -14.07%E -7.10%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -10.31%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-21 16:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -14.50%E -7.36%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -10.31%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-21 16:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -14.50%E -7.36%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -10.31%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-21 16:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -11.16%E -3.58%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -11.16%E -3.58%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -5.39%E -2.47%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.22%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.16%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.13%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 28.80%EV -12.58%E -4.10%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.07%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-21 18:23 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.58%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.58%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.58%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -14.58%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-21 17:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.95% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.03% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01% | -0.1% | 2026-08-21 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40% | 0.6% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |