Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cracovia Kraków v Wieczysta Kraków

Início: 2026-08-21 18:30 UTC

Final: Cracovia Kraków 3–2 Wieczysta Kraków

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cracovia Kraków (Local)

Previsão 43.40%2.30odd justa
EV -4.52%
Vantagem -2.05%
Kelly -3.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.89%43.45%43.28%44.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.972.102.102.2050.76%47.61%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wieczysta Kraków (Visitante)

Previsão 28.47%3.51odd justa
EV +1.08%
Vantagem +0.305%
Kelly +0.425%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.44%28.43%28.66%30.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.243.233.5533.33%30.90%31.01%28.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.12%3.56odd justa
EV -1.56%
Vantagem -0.447%
Kelly -0.625%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.94%28.12%28.06%29.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.293.303.5032.79%30.43%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cracovia Kraków (Local): 43.40%; Wieczysta Kraków (Visitante): 28.47%; Empate: 28.12%. Para Wieczysta Kraków (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.51. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.55, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.08%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV +1.08%E +0.305%K +0.425%G +0.005%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 17:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV +1.08%E +0.305%K +0.425%G +0.005%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV +1.08%E +0.305%K +0.425%G +0.005%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 18:19
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.76%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.67%EV -0.909%E -0.261%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.57%EV -5.22%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-21 18:25
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.19%E -0.937%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 18:03
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.19%E -0.937%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 17:45
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.34%EV -4.95%E -2.26%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 18:23
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:20
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:19
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:20
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.61%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:20
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.69%EV -7.99%E -3.77%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -7.75%E -2.36%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 18:24
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 17:49
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 17:55
Bovada🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -7.99%E -3.77%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-21 17:58
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -6.03%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.46%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 18:24
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -7.46%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-21 17:55
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -7.46%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-21 17:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -7.46%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-21 18:20
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.52%E -2.05%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -8.88%E -2.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -1.56%E -0.447%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 18:15
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.88%E -2.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.38%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 17:59
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.88%E -2.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 18:24
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.88%E -2.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 18:24
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -8.88%E -2.78%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-21 18:00
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -7.99%E -3.77%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.31%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-21 18:24
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -13.20%E -6.60%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -10.31%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-21 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -14.07%E -7.10%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -10.31%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-21 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -14.07%E -7.10%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -10.31%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-21 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -14.50%E -7.36%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -10.31%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-21 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -14.50%E -7.36%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -10.31%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-21 16:39
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -11.16%E -3.58%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 17:55
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -11.16%E -3.58%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 17:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -5.39%E -2.47%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 17:55
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 18:25
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-21 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-21 18:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-21 18:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.22%EV -12.33%E -6.10%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.16%EV -11.73%E -3.78%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-21 18:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.13%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.80%EV -12.58%E -4.10%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.07%EV -11.41%E -3.62%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-21 18:23
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.69%E -3.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -14.58%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-21 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.58%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-21 17:55
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.86%E -4.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.58%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-21 17:55
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.03%E -5.38%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -14.58%E -4.86%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -10.00%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-21 17:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.95%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01%-0.1%2026-08-21 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-08-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-08-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-08-21 18:25
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-08-21 18:25
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-08-21 18:25