Szkoła Kursów

Arka Gdynia v Widzew Łódź

Początek: 2026-03-15 11:15 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Arka Gdynia (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 27.98%3.57kurs godziwy
EV -0.684%
Przewaga -0.193%
Kelly -0.268%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.55

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.22%27.89%28.00%29.31%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.303.323.5533.33%30.27%30.12%28.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Widzew Łódź (Goście)

Prognoza 42.63%2.35kurs godziwy
EV -4.09%
Przewaga -1.82%
Kelly -3.27%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.49%42.68%42.62%44.31%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.952.132.152.2551.28%46.93%46.62%44.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 29.40%3.40kurs godziwy
EV -2.41%
Przewaga -0.725%
Kelly -1.04%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.32

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.31%29.43%29.39%31.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.803.143.133.3235.71%31.89%31.90%30.12%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -0.684%E -0.193%K -0.268%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.36%EV -5.37%E -2.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.53%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 11:05
1xBet3.53I 28.33%NM 26.90%EV -1.24%E -0.352%K -0.491%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.58%EV -4.94%E -2.22%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.53%EV -8.58%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 11:05
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -2.08%E -0.595%K -0.833%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -13.28%E -4.50%K -6.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 10:55
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.63%E -4.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 10:25
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.63%E -4.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 10:30
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.63%E -4.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 10:25
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.63%E -4.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 10:25
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.74%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.97%EV -2.41%E -0.725%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 04:30
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.74%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.97%EV -2.41%E -0.725%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 04:30
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 04:10
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 11:28
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 10:25
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 10:25
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 10:30
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 10:25
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 10:25
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.19%EV -8.78%E -4.10%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.62%EV -8.28%E -2.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 11:04
BetUS3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.19%EV -8.78%E -4.10%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.62%EV -8.28%E -2.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 11:05
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 11:05
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 11:05
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 11:05
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 11:05
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -11.33%E -5.45%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -12.19%E -5.92%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 10:25
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -12.19%E -5.92%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 10:30
Marathon Bet3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -6.56%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.14%EV -6.52%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 10:55
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 10:55
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 10:40
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 10:40
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 10:55
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 10:54
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 21:15
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -13.04%E -6.39%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 10:25
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 10:55
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 10:55
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 05:30
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 10:40
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 08:15
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -13.89%E -6.88%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-15 10:30
Codere (IT)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -10.48%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 41.83%EV -6.65%E -3.03%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 11:05
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.48%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 05:30
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -10.48%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -12.61%E -6.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 11:05
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.87%E -3.77%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 10:55
Betclic (FR)3.12I 32.05%NM 28.33%EV -12.71%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.50%EV -11.33%E -5.45%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.17%EV -10.93%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-15 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 10:55
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 10:55
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-12 11:30
Parions Sport (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-15 10:55
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 42.59%EV -13.89%E -6.88%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.66%EV -14.75%E -5.09%K -7.76%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-15 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -14.74%E -7.37%K -14.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -17.69%E -6.32%K -9.83%G +0.000%18.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -16.07%E -5.36%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -10.34%E -3.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 10:55
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 27.99%EV -16.07%E -5.36%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.06%EV -16.88%E -8.65%K -17.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.95%EV -14.75%E -5.09%K -7.76%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-15 10:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-15 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-15 11:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-15 11:05
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-15 11:05
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.98%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%1.6%2026-03-15 11:05
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.76%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%3.0%2026-03-15 10:45