La escuela de los momiosArka Gdynia v Widzew Łódź
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arka Gdynia (Local)
Predicción 27.98%3.57momio equitativo
EV -0.684%
Ventaja -0.193%
Kelly -0.268%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.22%27.89%28.00%29.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.303.323.5533.33%30.27%30.12%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Widzew Łódź (Visitante)
Predicción 42.63%2.35momio equitativo
EV -4.09%
Ventaja -1.82%
Kelly -3.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.49%42.68%42.62%44.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.132.152.2551.28%46.93%46.62%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.40%3.40momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -0.725%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.31%29.43%29.39%31.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.143.133.3235.71%31.89%31.90%30.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -0.684%E -0.193%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.36%EV -5.37%E -2.42%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.53%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| 1xBet | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.90%EV -1.24%E -0.352%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.58%EV -4.94%E -2.22%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.53%EV -8.58%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -2.08%E -0.595%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -13.28%E -4.50%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 10:55 |
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.63%E -4.54%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 10:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.63%E -4.54%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.63%E -4.54%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 10:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.63%E -4.54%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.74%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.97%EV -2.41%E -0.725%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 04:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.74%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.97%EV -2.41%E -0.725%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 04:30 |
| Coolbet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 04:10 |
| FanDuel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 11:28 |
| BetRivers | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 10:25 |
| Grosvenor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 10:25 |
| Casumo | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 10:25 |
| betPARX | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 10:25 |
| Bovada | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.19%EV -8.78%E -4.10%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.62%EV -8.28%E -2.66%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 11:04 |
| BetUS | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.19%EV -8.78%E -4.10%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.62%EV -8.28%E -2.66%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| DraftKings | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| TABtouch | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -11.33%E -5.45%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -12.19%E -5.92%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 10:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -12.19%E -5.92%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 10:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -6.56%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.14%EV -6.52%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 10:55 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 10:40 |
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 10:40 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 10:55 |
| Bet Victor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 10:54 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-12 21:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -13.04%E -6.39%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 10:25 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 10:55 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 10:55 |
| Bet Right | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 05:30 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 10:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 08:15 |
| LeoVegas | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -13.89%E -6.88%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-15 10:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -10.48%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.83%EV -6.65%E -3.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.48%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 05:30 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -10.48%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -12.61%E -6.15%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.87%E -3.77%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 10:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.33%EV -12.71%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.50%EV -11.33%E -5.45%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.17%EV -10.93%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-15 10:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 10:55 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 10:55 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-12 11:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-15 10:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.59%EV -13.89%E -6.88%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.66%EV -14.75%E -5.09%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -14.74%E -7.37%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -17.69%E -6.32%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -16.07%E -5.36%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -10.34%E -3.39%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-15 10:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.99%EV -16.07%E -5.36%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 43.06%EV -16.88%E -8.65%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.95%EV -14.75%E -5.09%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-03-15 10:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| Matchbook | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.98% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.19% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 1.6% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| Kalshi | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.76% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05% | 3.0% | 2026-03-15 10:45 |