La scuola delle quote

Arka Gdynia v Widzew Łódź

Inizio: 2026-03-15 11:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

52 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Arka Gdynia (Casa)

Previsione 27.98%3.57quota equa
EV -0.684%
Vantaggio -0.193%
Kelly -0.268%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.22%27.89%28.00%29.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.303.323.5533.33%30.27%30.12%28.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Widzew Łódź (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.63%2.35quota equa
EV -4.09%
Vantaggio -1.82%
Kelly -3.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.49%42.68%42.62%44.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.132.152.2551.28%46.93%46.62%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.40%3.40quota equa
EV -2.41%
Vantaggio -0.725%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.31%29.43%29.39%31.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.143.133.3235.71%31.89%31.90%30.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -0.684%E -0.193%K -0.268%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.36%EV -5.37%E -2.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.53%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 11:05
1xBet3.53I 28.33%NM 26.90%EV -1.24%E -0.352%K -0.491%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.58%EV -4.94%E -2.22%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.53%EV -8.58%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 11:05
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -2.08%E -0.595%K -0.833%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -13.28%E -4.50%K -6.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 10:55
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.63%E -4.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 10:25
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.63%E -4.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 10:30
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.63%E -4.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 10:25
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.63%E -4.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 10:25
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.74%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.97%EV -2.41%E -0.725%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 04:30
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.74%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.97%EV -2.41%E -0.725%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 04:30
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 04:10
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 11:28
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 10:25
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 10:25
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 10:30
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 10:25
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 10:25
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.19%EV -8.78%E -4.10%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.62%EV -8.28%E -2.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 11:04
BetUS3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.19%EV -8.78%E -4.10%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.62%EV -8.28%E -2.66%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 11:05
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 11:05
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 11:05
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 11:05
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 11:05
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -11.33%E -5.45%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -12.19%E -5.92%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 10:25
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -12.19%E -5.92%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 10:30
Marathon Bet3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -6.56%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.14%EV -6.52%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 10:55
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 10:55
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 10:40
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 10:40
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 10:55
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 10:54
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 21:15
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -13.04%E -6.39%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 10:25
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 10:55
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 10:55
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 05:30
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 10:40
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 08:15
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -13.89%E -6.88%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-15 10:30
Codere (IT)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -10.48%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 41.83%EV -6.65%E -3.03%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 11:05
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.48%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 05:30
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -10.48%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -12.61%E -6.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 11:05
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.87%E -3.77%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 10:55
Betclic (FR)3.12I 32.05%NM 28.33%EV -12.71%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.50%EV -11.33%E -5.45%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.17%EV -10.93%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-15 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 10:55
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 10:55
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-12 11:30
Parions Sport (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-15 10:55
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 42.59%EV -13.89%E -6.88%K -13.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.66%EV -14.75%E -5.09%K -7.76%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-15 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -14.74%E -7.37%K -14.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -17.69%E -6.32%K -9.83%G +0.000%18.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -16.07%E -5.36%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -10.34%E -3.39%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 10:55
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 27.99%EV -16.07%E -5.36%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.06%EV -16.88%E -8.65%K -17.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.95%EV -14.75%E -5.09%K -7.76%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-15 10:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-15 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-15 11:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-15 11:05
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-15 11:05
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.98%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%1.6%2026-03-15 11:05
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.76%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%3.0%2026-03-15 10:45