L’École des cotesArka Gdynia v Widzew Łódź
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Arka Gdynia (Local)
Prévision 27.98%3.57cote équitable
EV -0.684%
Avantage -0.193%
Kelly -0.268%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.22%27.89%28.00%29.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.303.323.5533.33%30.27%30.12%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Widzew Łódź (Visiteur)
Prévision 42.63%2.35cote équitable
EV -4.09%
Avantage -1.82%
Kelly -3.27%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.49%42.68%42.62%44.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.132.152.2551.28%46.93%46.62%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.40%3.40cote équitable
EV -2.41%
Avantage -0.725%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.31%29.43%29.39%31.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.143.133.3235.71%31.89%31.90%30.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -0.684%E -0.193%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.36%EV -5.37%E -2.42%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.53%EV -4.17%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| 1xBet | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.90%EV -1.24%E -0.352%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.58%EV -4.94%E -2.22%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.53%EV -8.58%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -2.08%E -0.595%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -13.28%E -4.50%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 10:55 |
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.63%E -4.54%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 10:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.63%E -4.54%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.63%E -4.54%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 10:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.63%E -4.54%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.74%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.97%EV -2.41%E -0.725%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 04:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.74%EV -4.09%E -1.82%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.97%EV -2.41%E -0.725%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 04:30 |
| Coolbet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 04:10 |
| FanDuel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.99%E -0.907%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 11:28 |
| BetRivers | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 10:25 |
| Grosvenor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 10:25 |
| Casumo | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 10:25 |
| betPARX | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 10:25 |
| Bovada | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.19%EV -8.78%E -4.10%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.62%EV -8.28%E -2.66%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 11:04 |
| BetUS | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.19%EV -8.78%E -4.10%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.62%EV -8.28%E -2.66%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.88%E -1.44%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| DraftKings | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| TABtouch | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -11.33%E -5.45%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -4.46%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -12.19%E -5.92%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 10:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.28%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -12.19%E -5.92%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-15 10:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -6.56%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.14%EV -6.52%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 10:55 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 10:40 |
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 10:40 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 10:55 |
| Bet Victor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-15 10:54 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-12 21:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -13.04%E -6.39%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-15 10:25 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 10:55 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -6.22%E -2.83%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-15 10:55 |
| Bet Right | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.40%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 05:30 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 10:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 08:15 |
| LeoVegas | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -13.89%E -6.88%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-15 10:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -10.48%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.83%EV -6.65%E -3.03%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.48%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 05:30 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -10.48%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -12.61%E -6.15%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.87%E -3.77%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -5.93%E -1.85%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-15 10:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.33%EV -12.71%E -4.07%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.50%EV -11.33%E -5.45%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.17%EV -10.93%E -3.61%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-15 10:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 10:55 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.35%E -3.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 10:55 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.87%E -2.86%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-12 11:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.81%E -3.94%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-15 10:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.59%EV -13.89%E -6.88%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.66%EV -14.75%E -5.09%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -13.27%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -14.74%E -7.37%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -17.69%E -6.32%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -16.07%E -5.36%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.87%EV -10.48%E -4.99%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.83%EV -10.34%E -3.39%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-15 10:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.99%EV -16.07%E -5.36%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 43.06%EV -16.88%E -8.65%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.95%EV -14.75%E -5.09%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-03-15 10:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| Matchbook | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.98% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.19% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 1.6% | 2026-03-15 11:05 |
| Kalshi | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.76% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05% | 3.0% | 2026-03-15 10:45 |