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Arka Gdynia v Lechia Gdańsk
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Arka Gdynia (Хозяева)
Прогноз 28.15%3.55справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.75%
Преимущество -0.502%
Kelly -0.704%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.49
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.16%28.16%28.24%29.77%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.213.253.4933.33%31.11%30.77%28.65%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Lechia Gdańsk (Гости)
Прогноз 43.14%2.32справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.81%
Преимущество -1.71%
Kelly -3.09%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.23
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.85%43.10%43.17%44.13%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.902.142.152.2352.63%46.72%46.51%44.84%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 28.71%3.48справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.38%
Преимущество -0.699%
Kelly -0.990%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.94%28.73%28.59%29.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.203.203.4034.48%31.25%31.25%29.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Arka Gdynia (Хозяева): 28.15%; Lechia Gdańsk (Гости): 43.14%; Ничья: 28.71%. Для исхода «Arka Gdynia (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.55. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.49, математическое ожидание — -1.75%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.57%EV -1.75%E -0.502%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.13%EV -5.96%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -2.38%E -0.699%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.63%EV -6.39%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.52%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.63%EV -6.39%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.52%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 19:18 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.23%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -3.81%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -7.69%E -3.59%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 19:16 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -5.98%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -8.55%E -4.03%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 17:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 19:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -5.96%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -5.96%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 17:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -6.83%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-27 17:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-27 19:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -10.28%E -4.94%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-27 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -5.96%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.57%E -5.64%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -12.43%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-27 19:08 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.57%E -5.64%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -12.43%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-27 19:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -6.39%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -6.39%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -7.69%E -3.59%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.57%E -5.64%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-27 17:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.17%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.18%EV -14.16%E -7.11%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.64%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -15.55%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.02%EV -8.55%E -4.03%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.67%EV -15.55%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 43.70%EV -18.04%E -9.50%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.63%EV -16.73%E -5.77%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-02-27 19:10 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 19:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 19:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 1.5% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |