Szkoła Kursów

Arka Gdynia v Lechia Gdańsk

Początek: 2026-02-27 19:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

51 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Arka Gdynia (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 28.15%3.55kurs godziwy
EV -1.75%
Przewaga -0.502%
Kelly -0.704%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.49

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.16%28.16%28.24%29.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.213.253.4933.33%31.11%30.77%28.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Lechia Gdańsk (Goście)

Prognoza 43.14%2.32kurs godziwy
EV -3.81%
Przewaga -1.71%
Kelly -3.09%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.23

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.85%43.10%43.17%44.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.902.142.152.2352.63%46.72%46.51%44.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.71%3.48kurs godziwy
EV -2.38%
Przewaga -0.699%
Kelly -0.990%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.94%28.73%28.59%29.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.903.203.203.4034.48%31.25%31.25%29.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle3.49I 28.65%NM 27.57%EV -1.75%E -0.502%K -0.704%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.13%EV -5.96%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -2.38%E -0.699%K -0.990%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-27 19:14
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 19:14
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.63%EV -6.39%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.52%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 19:04
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.63%EV -6.39%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.52%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-27 19:04
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 19:18
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-27 19:00
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.23%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -3.81%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 19:04
1xBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -7.69%E -3.59%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 19:24
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-27 19:16
Marathon Bet3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -5.98%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -8.55%E -4.03%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 19:19
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 17:19
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 19:00
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 19:20
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 19:19
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 19:04
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 19:05
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 19:05
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 19:04
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-27 19:04
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -5.96%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 17:20
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -5.96%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 17:19
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -6.83%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-27 17:35
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 18:55
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 19:19
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 19:09
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -10.28%E -4.94%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-27 19:04
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 18:54
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 18:40
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 18:39
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 18:39
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 18:39
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 18:39
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 18:39
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 18:39
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 18:40
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-27 18:40
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 17:20
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -5.96%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:39
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-27 18:54
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-27 18:54
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-27 19:19
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-27 18:49
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.57%E -5.64%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -12.43%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-27 19:08
Parions Sport (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.57%E -5.64%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -12.43%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-27 19:10
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -6.39%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -6.39%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 18:39
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -7.69%E -3.59%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 18:39
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.57%E -5.64%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-27 17:20
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.17%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.18%EV -14.16%E -7.11%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.64%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%16.4%2026-02-27 19:24
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -15.55%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.02%EV -8.55%E -4.03%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-27 18:39
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 27.67%EV -15.55%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 43.70%EV -18.04%E -9.50%K -20.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.63%EV -16.73%E -5.77%K -8.81%G +0.000%20.4%2026-02-27 19:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-02-27 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-02-27 19:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-02-27 19:15
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%1.4%2026-02-27 19:15
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%1.5%2026-02-27 19:19