Język:Polski
Arka Gdynia v Lechia Gdańsk
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Arka Gdynia (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 28.15%3.55kurs godziwy
EV -1.75%
Przewaga -0.502%
Kelly -0.704%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.49
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.16%28.16%28.24%29.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.213.253.4933.33%31.11%30.77%28.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Lechia Gdańsk (Goście)
Prognoza 43.14%2.32kurs godziwy
EV -3.81%
Przewaga -1.71%
Kelly -3.09%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.23
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
41.85%43.10%43.17%44.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.902.142.152.2352.63%46.72%46.51%44.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 28.71%3.48kurs godziwy
EV -2.38%
Przewaga -0.699%
Kelly -0.990%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.40
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.94%28.73%28.59%29.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.903.203.203.4034.48%31.25%31.25%29.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Arka Gdynia (Gospodarze): 28.15%; Lechia Gdańsk (Goście): 43.14%; Remis: 28.71%. Dla wyniku Arka Gdynia (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.55. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 3.49, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.75%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.57%EV -1.75%E -0.502%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.13%EV -5.96%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -2.38%E -0.699%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.63%EV -6.39%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.52%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.63%EV -6.39%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.52%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 19:18 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.23%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -3.81%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -7.69%E -3.59%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 19:16 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -5.98%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -8.55%E -4.03%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 17:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 19:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -5.96%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -5.96%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 17:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -6.83%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-27 17:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-27 19:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -10.28%E -4.94%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-27 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -5.96%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.57%E -5.64%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -12.43%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-27 19:08 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.57%E -5.64%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -12.43%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-27 19:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -6.39%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -6.39%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -7.69%E -3.59%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.57%E -5.64%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-27 17:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.17%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.18%EV -14.16%E -7.11%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.64%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -15.55%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.02%EV -8.55%E -4.03%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.67%EV -15.55%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 43.70%EV -18.04%E -9.50%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.63%EV -16.73%E -5.77%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-02-27 19:10 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (5)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 19:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 19:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 1.5% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |