La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Arka Gdynia v Lechia Gdańsk
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arka Gdynia (Local)
Predicción 28.15%3.55momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.502%
Kelly -0.704%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.16%28.16%28.24%29.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.213.253.4933.33%31.11%30.77%28.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lechia Gdańsk (Visitante)
Predicción 43.14%2.32momio equitativo
EV -3.81%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -3.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.85%43.10%43.17%44.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.142.152.2352.63%46.72%46.51%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.71%3.48momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -0.699%
Kelly -0.990%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.94%28.73%28.59%29.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.203.203.4034.48%31.25%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.57%EV -1.75%E -0.502%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.13%EV -5.96%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -2.38%E -0.699%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| Coolbet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.63%EV -6.39%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.52%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.63%EV -6.39%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.52%EV -4.67%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| FanDuel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 19:18 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 19:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.23%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -3.81%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| 1xBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.53%EV -7.69%E -3.59%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| Bovada | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-27 19:16 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -5.98%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -8.55%E -4.03%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 17:19 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 19:00 |
| BetUS | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 19:20 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Betway | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -5.96%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 17:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -5.96%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 17:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -6.83%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-27 17:35 |
| Bet Right | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-27 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-27 19:09 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.51%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -10.28%E -4.94%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-27 19:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Grosvenor | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| BetRivers | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| betPARX | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.81%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -11.32%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-27 17:20 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -5.96%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Sky Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.57%E -5.64%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -12.43%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-27 19:08 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.57%E -5.64%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -12.43%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-27 19:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -6.39%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -6.39%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.00%EV -7.69%E -3.59%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.57%E -5.64%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.99%E -3.55%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-27 17:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.17%EV -14.14%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.18%EV -14.16%E -7.11%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.64%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-02-27 19:24 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -15.55%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.02%EV -8.55%E -4.03%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -9.56%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.67%EV -15.55%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 43.70%EV -18.04%E -9.50%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.63%EV -16.73%E -5.77%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-02-27 19:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 19:15 |
| Matchbook | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 1.4% | 2026-02-27 19:15 |
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 1.5% | 2026-02-27 19:19 |