Language:English
Arka Gdynia v Górnik Zabrze
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arka Gdynia (Local)
Prediction 25.26%3.96fair odd
EV -0.491%
Edge -0.125%
Kelly -0.167%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.15%25.24%25.29%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.603.603.9429.85%27.76%27.78%25.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Górnik Zabrze (Visit)
Prediction 47.76%2.09fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -3.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.46%47.82%47.72%49.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.931.952.0256.18%51.75%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.98%3.71fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -0.795%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.74%26.95%26.99%28.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.363.403.6033.33%29.73%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arka Gdynia (Local): 25.26%; Górnik Zabrze (Visit): 47.76%; Draw: 26.98%. For Arka Gdynia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.94, with an expected value of -0.491%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.41%EV -0.491%E -0.125%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.02%EV -3.94%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-13 15:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.62%EV -2.51%E -0.651%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.23%EV -5.91%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.64%E -6.29%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 15:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-13 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.70%EV -5.91%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.70%EV -5.91%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 15:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 15:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-13 15:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-13 15:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.78%EV -5.54%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.27%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -7.18%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 09:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-13 15:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 15:31 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 15:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.86%E -0.795%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-13 09:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 15:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 15:31 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -2.86%E -0.795%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 15:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -7.34%E -3.79%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-13 15:31 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-13 15:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-13 15:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-13 15:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-13 09:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-13 15:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -5.91%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.26%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-13 09:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-13 15:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-13 09:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-13 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -12.30%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.30%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-13 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.30%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-13 15:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -11.64%E -6.29%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-13 15:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -12.60%E -6.88%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-13 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.22%EV -14.99%E -8.42%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.25%EV -15.00%E -4.76%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-13 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.43%EV -12.11%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.58%EV -11.17%E -6.00%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.98%EV -11.50%E -3.50%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-13 15:31 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -12.87%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.50%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -13.65%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.14%EV -12.87%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.18%EV -14.03%E -7.79%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.68%EV -12.30%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.04%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-13 15:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -10.21%E -5.43%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -13.65%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-13 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -12.60%E -6.88%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -19.05%E -6.35%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-05-13 09:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -15.39%E -4.59%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.38%EV -11.17%E -6.00%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-13 15:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-13 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-13 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67% | 1.3% | 2026-05-13 15:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67% | 1.3% | 2026-05-13 15:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.25% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-05-13 15:55 |