L’École des cotes

Arka Gdynia v Górnik Zabrze

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-13 16:00 UTC

Score final : Arka Gdynia 0–0 Górnik Zabrze

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arka Gdynia (Local)

Prévision 25.26%3.96cote équitable
EV -0.491%
Avantage -0.125%
Kelly -0.167%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.15%25.24%25.29%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.603.603.9429.85%27.76%27.78%25.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Górnik Zabrze (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.76%2.09cote équitable
EV -3.52%
Avantage -1.74%
Kelly -3.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.46%47.82%47.72%49.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.931.952.0256.18%51.75%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.98%3.71cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -0.795%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.74%26.95%26.99%28.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.363.403.6033.33%29.73%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.94I 25.38%NM 24.41%EV -0.491%E -0.125%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.02%EV -3.94%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 15:55
1xBet3.86I 25.91%NM 24.62%EV -2.51%E -0.651%K -0.878%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.23%EV -5.91%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 15:50
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.64%E -6.29%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-13 15:45
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-13 15:15
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 15:30
LowVig.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.70%EV -5.91%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 15:45
BetOnline.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.70%EV -5.91%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 15:40
DraftKings3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 15:10
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 15:45
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 15:45
Marathon Bet3.74I 26.74%NM 24.78%EV -5.54%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.27%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -7.18%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 15:55
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 09:25
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-13 15:30
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 15:35
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 15:35
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 15:35
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 15:35
NordicBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 15:31
Betsson3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 15:30
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.86%E -0.795%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 09:25
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 15:35
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 15:31
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 15:35
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 15:35
betPARX3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 15:31
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -2.86%E -0.795%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 15:45
Codere (IT)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -7.34%E -3.79%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 15:31
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-13 15:45
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-13 15:45
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-13 15:45
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-13 15:50
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 09:25
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 15:15
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -5.91%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 15:35
LiveScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.26%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-13 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-13 15:35
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 09:30
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-13 15:30
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-13 09:25
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-13 15:55
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -12.30%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-13 15:35
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.30%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-13 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.30%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-13 15:10
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -11.64%E -6.29%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-13 15:15
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -12.60%E -6.88%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-13 15:10
NetBet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.22%EV -14.99%E -8.42%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.25%EV -15.00%E -4.76%K -6.98%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-13 15:55
Betclic (FR)3.48I 28.74%NM 25.43%EV -12.11%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.58%EV -11.17%E -6.00%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.98%EV -11.50%E -3.50%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-13 15:31
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -12.87%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.50%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -13.65%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-13 15:35
Unibet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.14%EV -12.87%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.18%EV -14.03%E -7.79%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.68%EV -12.30%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-13 15:35
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.04%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-13 15:20
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -10.21%E -5.43%K -11.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -13.65%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-13 15:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -12.60%E -6.88%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -19.05%E -6.35%K -9.53%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-13 09:24
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -15.39%E -4.59%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.38%EV -11.17%E -6.00%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-13 15:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-05-13 15:55
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-05-13 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67%1.3%2026-05-13 15:46
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67%1.3%2026-05-13 15:45
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-05-13 15:35
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.25%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.0%2026-05-13 15:55