La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Arka Gdynia v Górnik Zabrze
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arka Gdynia (Local)
Predicción 25.26%3.96momio equitativo
EV -0.491%
Ventaja -0.125%
Kelly -0.167%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.15%25.24%25.29%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.603.603.9429.85%27.76%27.78%25.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Górnik Zabrze (Visitante)
Predicción 47.76%2.09momio equitativo
EV -3.52%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -3.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.46%47.82%47.72%49.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.931.952.0256.18%51.75%51.28%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.98%3.71momio equitativo
EV -2.86%
Ventaja -0.795%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.74%26.95%26.99%28.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.363.403.6033.33%29.73%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.41%EV -0.491%E -0.125%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.02%EV -3.94%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-13 15:55 |
| 1xBet | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.62%EV -2.51%E -0.651%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.23%EV -5.91%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -11.64%E -6.29%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 15:45 |
| Fanatics | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-13 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -5.43%E -2.74%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.70%EV -5.91%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.70%EV -5.91%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 15:40 |
| DraftKings | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 15:10 |
| Bovada | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-13 15:45 |
| BetUS | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-13 15:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.78%EV -5.54%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.27%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -7.18%E -2.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 15:55 |
| FanDuel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-13 09:25 |
| BetMGM | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-13 15:30 |
| Unibet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -3.52%E -1.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| NordicBet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 15:31 |
| Betsson | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 15:30 |
| Coolbet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.86%E -0.795%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-13 09:25 |
| Grosvenor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| BetRivers | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 15:31 |
| Casumo | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| betPARX | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -4.48%E -2.24%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 15:31 |
| Betway | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -2.86%E -0.795%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 15:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -7.34%E -3.79%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-13 15:31 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-13 15:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-13 15:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-13 15:45 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-13 15:50 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-13 09:25 |
| Paddy Power | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-13 15:15 |
| TABtouch | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -5.91%E -3.00%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.39%E -3.26%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| betfred_uk | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.87%E -3.52%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-13 09:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -8.30%E -4.32%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-13 15:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-13 09:25 |
| PlayUp | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-13 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.61%EV -7.82%E -4.05%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -12.30%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.30%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-13 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.30%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-13 15:10 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -11.64%E -6.29%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-13 15:15 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -12.60%E -6.88%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-13 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -11.60%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.22%EV -14.99%E -8.42%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.25%EV -15.00%E -4.76%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-13 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.43%EV -12.11%E -3.48%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.58%EV -11.17%E -6.00%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.98%EV -11.50%E -3.50%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-13 15:31 |
| LeoVegas | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -12.87%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.50%EV -8.78%E -4.60%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -13.65%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.14%EV -12.87%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.18%EV -14.03%E -7.79%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.68%EV -12.30%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| Bet Right | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.04%EV -9.25%E -4.87%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-13 15:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.72%EV -10.21%E -5.43%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -13.65%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-13 15:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -12.60%E -6.88%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -19.05%E -6.35%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-05-13 09:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -15.39%E -4.59%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.38%EV -11.17%E -6.00%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-13 15:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-13 15:55 |
| Matchbook | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-13 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67% | 1.3% | 2026-05-13 15:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67% | 1.3% | 2026-05-13 15:45 |
| Kalshi | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-05-13 15:35 |
| Smarkets | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.25% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-05-13 15:55 |