Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viking FK v Sarpsborg FK

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viking FK (Local)

Prediction 69.14%1.45fair odd
EV -5.97%
Edge -4.39%
Kelly -16.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.68%69.16%69.18%70.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.331.331.3678.74%75.33%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sarpsborg FK (Visit)

Prediction 13.18%7.58fair odd
EV +8.11%
Edge +0.989%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.091%

assuming max odds 8.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.49%13.13%13.24%15.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.947.008.2017.39%14.41%14.29%12.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.67%5.66fair odd
EV +0.741%
Edge +0.130%
Kelly +0.158%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 5.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.39%17.71%17.58%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.195.255.7021.05%19.27%19.05%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Viking FK (Local): 69.14%; Sarpsborg FK (Visit): 13.18%; Draw: 17.67%. For Sarpsborg FK (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.58. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 8.20, producing a positive expected value of +8.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.28%EV -5.97%E -4.39%K -16.58%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.49%EV +8.11%E +0.989%K +1.13%G +0.091%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -13.40%E -2.73%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 14:14
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 69.28%EV -5.97%E -4.39%K -16.58%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.49%EV +8.11%E +0.989%K +1.13%G +0.091%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -13.40%E -2.73%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 14:15
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.99%EV -5.97%E -4.39%K -16.58%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.61%EV -0.457%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.40%EV -3.32%E -0.608%K -0.744%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:25
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.01%EV -8.04%E -6.05%K -24.37%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.58%EV -2.43%E -0.329%K -0.380%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.40%EV -5.44%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 21:20
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 69.94%EV -8.04%E -6.05%K -24.37%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.83%EV -4.41%E -0.609%K -0.706%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -4.56%E -0.845%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 21:55
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 69.02%EV -7.35%E -5.49%K -21.62%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.85%EV -5.07%E -0.704%K -0.818%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -9.86%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 69.02%EV -7.35%E -5.49%K -21.62%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.85%EV -5.07%E -0.704%K -0.818%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -9.86%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 18:00
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 70.26%EV -8.04%E -6.05%K -24.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV +0.741%E +0.130%K +0.158%G +0.001%7.0%2026-08-01 14:44
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.66%E -4.93%K -19.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:05
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.66%E -4.93%K -19.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:05
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.66%E -4.93%K -19.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:05
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.66%E -4.93%K -19.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.66%E -4.93%K -19.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:04
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.66%E -4.93%K -19.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:04
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.66%E -4.93%K -19.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:04
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.66%E -4.93%K -19.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:04
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.66%E -4.93%K -19.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:04
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.66%E -4.93%K -19.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -8.04%E -6.05%K -24.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -2.79%E -0.508%K -0.621%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 14:59
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.04%E -6.05%K -24.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 14:15
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.04%E -6.05%K -24.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -9.86%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:05
Codere (IT)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -8.73%E -6.62%K -27.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -8.10%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 14:10
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -10.12%E -7.78%K -33.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -2.79%E -0.508%K -0.621%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 14:42
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -8.73%E -6.62%K -27.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -9.86%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 14:04
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -8.73%E -6.62%K -27.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -7.71%E -1.10%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -9.86%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 14:04
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 69.82%EV -9.42%E -7.19%K -30.40%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.55%EV -11.00%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -2.79%E -0.508%K -0.621%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 14:44
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 68.92%EV -11.50%E -8.98%K -41.07%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.07%EV -11.00%E -1.63%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.00%EV -13.40%E -2.73%K -3.44%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-01 14:05
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -10.12%E -7.78%K -33.72%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.48%EV -11.66%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -6.33%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 14:05
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 68.59%EV -11.50%E -8.98%K -41.07%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.30%EV -12.98%E -1.97%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.10%EV -14.28%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 14:05
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 68.59%EV -11.50%E -8.98%K -41.07%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.30%EV -12.98%E -1.97%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.10%EV -14.28%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 14:08
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 68.27%EV -6.66%E -4.93%K -19.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -14.30%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 14:49
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 68.59%EV -8.04%E -6.05%K -24.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -14.30%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 19:59
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -10.12%E -7.78%K -33.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -14.30%E -2.20%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.63%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-01 14:45
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.52%EV -10.81%E -8.38%K -37.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.14%EV -17.60%E -2.82%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.33%EV -9.86%E -1.93%K -2.41%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-01 14:05
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 67.99%EV -12.19%E -9.60%K -45.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.39%EV -20.89%E -3.48%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.62%EV -13.40%E -2.73%K -3.44%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-01 14:05
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 66.68%EV -10.12%E -7.78%K -33.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.07%EV -24.19%E -4.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.25%EV -16.05%E -3.38%K -4.28%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-01 14:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.