Idioma:Español
Viking FK v Sarpsborg FK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Viking FK (Local)
Predicción 68.16%1.47momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -1.77%
Kelly -5.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.47%68.17%68.03%70.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.351.351.4380.00%73.82%74.07%69.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sarpsborg FK (Visitante)
Predicción 14.21%7.04momio equitativo
EV +3.04%
Ventaja +0.419%
Kelly +0.486%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.11%14.22%14.33%15.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.706.596.507.2517.54%15.18%15.38%13.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 17.63%5.67momio equitativo
EV +2.42%
Ventaja +0.417%
Kelly +0.503%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.64%17.62%17.65%20.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.505.195.255.8122.22%19.28%19.05%17.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Viking FK (Local): 68.16%; Sarpsborg FK (Visitante): 14.21%; Empate: 17.63%. Para Sarpsborg FK (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.04. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.04%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.01%EV -5.94%E -4.30%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.33%EV +3.04%E +0.419%K +0.486%G +0.015% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.66%EV +2.24%E +0.387%K +0.467%G +0.010% | 3.5% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.01%EV -5.94%E -4.30%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.33%EV +3.04%E +0.419%K +0.486%G +0.015% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.66%EV +2.24%E +0.387%K +0.467%G +0.010% | 3.5% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.82%EV -5.26%E -3.78%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.48%EV +2.32%E +0.323%K +0.375%G +0.009% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.70%EV +2.42%E +0.417%K +0.503%G +0.012% | 3.0% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.43%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.11%EV +2.32%E +0.323%K +0.375%G +0.009% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -14.50%E -2.99%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.43%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.11%EV +2.32%E +0.323%K +0.375%G +0.009% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -14.50%E -2.99%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.61%EV -5.26%E -3.78%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.53%EV +1.61%E +0.226%K +0.262%G +0.004% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.86%EV +1.19%E +0.207%K +0.250%G +0.003% | 3.4% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.05%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -0.518%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -1.28%E -0.229%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.518%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 14:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.518%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.518%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.518%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.518%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 14:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.518%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 14:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.518%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 14:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.518%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 14:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.518%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 14:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.518%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 14:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.61%EV -5.94%E -4.30%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.62%EV -1.23%E -0.177%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 17.76%EV -6.04%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.63%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -4.07%E -0.603%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.06%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.61%EV -4.07%E -0.603%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -6.57%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.51%EV -10.03%E -7.60%K -31.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -4.07%E -0.603%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-07 09:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -2.53%E -1.77%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.49%EV -4.78%E -0.714%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65%EV -3.04%E -0.554%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-08 07:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.99%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.70%EV -4.78%E -0.714%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.31%EV -6.57%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.02%EV -5.49%E -0.826%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -5.69%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.06%EV -3.21%E -2.26%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 6.62I 15.11%NM 14.38%EV -5.92%E -0.894%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.56%EV -9.57%E -1.86%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -5.94%E -4.30%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -3.04%E -0.554%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -3.04%E -0.554%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 00:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -11.39%E -8.76%K -37.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -11.39%E -8.76%K -37.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.25%EV -11.39%E -8.76%K -37.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -13.62%E -2.78%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-07 09:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.25%EV -11.39%E -8.76%K -37.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -13.62%E -2.78%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-07 09:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 68.56%EV -14.80%E -11.84%K -59.20%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.39%EV -9.04%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.04%EV -16.27%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-07 09:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -5.94%E -4.30%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -11.18%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -8.33%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -5.94%E -4.30%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -11.18%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -8.33%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -5.94%E -4.30%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -11.18%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -20.67%E -4.59%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.62%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -11.18%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.22%EV -8.67%E -6.47%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.77%EV -13.31%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.62%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.74%EV -13.31%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.63%EV -10.10%E -1.98%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -5.94%E -4.30%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 13:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 13:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.97%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.85%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.18%EV -13.62%E -2.78%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -11.39%E -8.76%K -37.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.24%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -16.15%E -2.74%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.26%EV -6.57%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.56%EV -18.28%E -3.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -15.38%E -3.21%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.76%EV -8.67%E -6.47%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.70%EV -18.99%E -3.33%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.54%EV -10.10%E -1.98%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.40% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.40% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.40% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.40% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.54% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.00% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |