Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Viking FK v Sarpsborg FK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Score final : Viking FK 2–1 Sarpsborg FK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Viking FK (Local)

Prévision 68.16%1.47cote équitable
EV -2.53%
Avantage -1.77%
Kelly -5.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.47%68.17%68.03%70.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.351.351.4380.00%73.82%74.07%69.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sarpsborg FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.21%7.04cote équitable
EV +3.04%
Avantage +0.419%
Kelly +0.486%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 7.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.11%14.22%14.33%15.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.706.596.507.2517.54%15.18%15.38%13.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 17.63%5.67cote équitable
EV +2.42%
Avantage +0.417%
Kelly +0.503%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 5.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.64%17.62%17.65%20.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.195.255.8122.22%19.28%19.05%17.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Viking FK (Local) : 68.16% ; Sarpsborg FK (Visiteur) : 14.21% ; Match nul : 17.63%. Pour Sarpsborg FK (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.04. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.25, soit une espérance positive de +3.04%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.01%EV -5.94%E -4.30%K -15.63%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.33%EV +3.04%E +0.419%K +0.486%G +0.015%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.66%EV +2.24%E +0.387%K +0.467%G +0.010%3.5%2026-08-08 13:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.01%EV -5.94%E -4.30%K -15.63%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.33%EV +3.04%E +0.419%K +0.486%G +0.015%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.66%EV +2.24%E +0.387%K +0.467%G +0.010%3.5%2026-08-08 13:39
BetAnything🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.82%EV -5.26%E -3.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.48%EV +2.32%E +0.323%K +0.375%G +0.009%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.70%EV +2.42%E +0.417%K +0.503%G +0.012%3.0%2026-08-08 13:54
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.43%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.11%EV +2.32%E +0.323%K +0.375%G +0.009%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -14.50%E -2.99%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 13:30
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.43%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.11%EV +2.32%E +0.323%K +0.375%G +0.009%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -14.50%E -2.99%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 13:30
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.61%EV -5.26%E -3.78%K -13.48%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.53%EV +1.61%E +0.226%K +0.262%G +0.004%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.86%EV +1.19%E +0.207%K +0.250%G +0.003%3.4%2026-08-08 13:45
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.05%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -0.518%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -1.28%E -0.229%K -0.279%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:39
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.518%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:05
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.518%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.518%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.518%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.518%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:04
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.518%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:04
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.518%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.518%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.518%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:04
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -0.518%E -0.074%K -0.086%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:05
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.61%EV -5.94%E -4.30%K -15.63%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.62%EV -1.23%E -0.177%K -0.206%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.76%EV -6.04%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 13:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.63%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -4.07%E -0.603%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 00:25
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.06%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.61%EV -4.07%E -0.603%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -6.57%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:39
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.51%EV -10.03%E -7.60%K -31.34%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -4.07%E -0.603%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 09:54
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -2.53%E -1.77%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.49%EV -4.78%E -0.714%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65%EV -3.04%E -0.554%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 07:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.99%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.32%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.70%EV -4.78%E -0.714%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.31%EV -6.57%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.28%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.02%EV -5.49%E -0.826%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -5.69%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:54
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.06%EV -3.21%E -2.26%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.62I 15.11%NM 14.38%EV -5.92%E -0.894%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.56%EV -9.57%E -1.86%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 13:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 13:34
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -4.58%E -3.27%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -5.94%E -4.30%K -15.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -3.04%E -0.554%K -0.677%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 13:40
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -7.98%E -5.91%K -22.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -3.04%E -0.554%K -0.677%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 13:34
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 00:25
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:50
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:50
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -11.39%E -8.76%K -37.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -11.39%E -8.76%K -37.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.25%EV -11.39%E -8.76%K -37.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -13.62%E -2.78%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-07 09:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.25%EV -11.39%E -8.76%K -37.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -7.62%E -1.17%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.11%EV -13.62%E -2.78%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-07 09:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 68.56%EV -14.80%E -11.84%K -59.20%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.39%EV -9.04%E -1.41%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.04%EV -16.27%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-07 09:54
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -5.94%E -4.30%K -15.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -11.18%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -8.33%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 13:39
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -5.94%E -4.30%K -15.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -11.18%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -8.33%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 13:39
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -5.94%E -4.30%K -15.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -11.18%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -20.67%E -4.59%K -5.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 13:40
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.62%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -11.18%E -1.79%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 13:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.22%EV -8.67%E -6.47%K -25.49%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.77%EV -13.31%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 13:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.62%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.32%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.74%EV -13.31%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.63%EV -10.10%E -1.98%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 13:35
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -5.94%E -4.30%K -15.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:35
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -7.45%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 13:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 13:39
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 13:30
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.97%EV -9.35%E -7.03%K -28.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.85%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.18%EV -13.62%E -2.78%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 13:39
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -11.39%E -8.76%K -37.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -14.73%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -11.86%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-08 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.24%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -16.15%E -2.74%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.26%EV -6.57%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -7.30%E -5.37%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.56%EV -18.28%E -3.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -15.38%E -3.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 13:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.76%EV -8.67%E -6.47%K -25.49%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.70%EV -18.99%E -3.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.54%EV -10.10%E -1.98%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 13:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.40%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.7%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.40%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.7%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.40%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.7%2026-08-08 13:55
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.40%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.7%2026-08-08 13:55
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.54%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.00%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%1.3%2026-08-08 13:45