Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Viking FK v Sarpsborg FK

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Viking FK (Local)

Prévision 69.18%1.45cote équitable
EV -5.92%
Avantage -4.35%
Kelly -16.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.68%69.18%69.22%70.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.271.331.331.3678.74%75.33%75.19%73.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sarpsborg FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.19%7.58cote équitable
EV +8.17%
Avantage +0.996%
Kelly +1.13%
Croissance +0.093%

avec la cote maximale 8.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.49%13.14%13.22%15.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.756.947.008.2017.39%14.41%14.29%12.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 17.63%5.67cote équitable
EV +0.494%
Avantage +0.087%
Kelly +0.105%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 5.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.39%17.68%17.56%19.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.755.195.255.7021.05%19.25%19.05%17.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Viking FK (Local) : 69.18% ; Sarpsborg FK (Visiteur) : 13.19% ; Match nul : 17.63%. Pour Sarpsborg FK (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 7.58. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 8.20, pour une espérance positive de +8.17%.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.28%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.49%EV +8.17%E +0.996%K +1.13%G +0.093%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -13.61%E -2.78%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 14:14
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 69.28%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.49%EV +8.17%E +0.996%K +1.13%G +0.093%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -13.61%E -2.78%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 14:15
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.99%EV -5.92%E -4.35%K -16.44%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.61%EV -0.406%E -0.054%K -0.062%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.40%EV -3.56%E -0.651%K -0.797%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:25
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.01%EV -7.99%E -6.01%K -24.22%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.58%EV -2.38%E -0.322%K -0.373%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.40%EV -5.68%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 21:20
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 69.94%EV -7.99%E -6.01%K -24.22%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.83%EV -4.36%E -0.602%K -0.698%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -4.80%E -0.888%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 21:55
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 69.26%EV -7.30%E -5.45%K -21.47%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.89%EV -5.02%E -0.698%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -8.32%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 23:15
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 69.26%EV -7.30%E -5.45%K -21.47%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.89%EV -5.02%E -0.698%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -8.32%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 23:15
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 70.26%EV -7.99%E -6.01%K -24.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -7.66%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV +0.494%E +0.087%K +0.105%G +0.001%7.0%2026-08-01 14:44
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.61%E -4.90%K -18.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.66%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.44%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:05
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.61%E -4.90%K -18.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.66%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.44%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:05
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.61%E -4.90%K -18.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.66%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.44%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:05
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.61%E -4.90%K -18.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.66%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.44%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.61%E -4.90%K -18.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.66%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.44%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:04
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.61%E -4.90%K -18.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.66%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.44%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:04
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.61%E -4.90%K -18.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.66%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.44%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:04
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.61%E -4.90%K -18.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.66%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.44%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:04
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.61%E -4.90%K -18.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.66%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.44%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:04
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.61%E -4.90%K -18.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -7.66%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.44%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -7.99%E -6.01%K -24.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -7.66%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -3.03%E -0.551%K -0.674%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 14:59
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.99%E -6.01%K -24.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -7.66%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -7.44%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 14:15
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.99%E -6.01%K -24.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -7.66%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -10.08%E -1.98%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 14:05
Codere (IT)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.33%EV -8.68%E -6.58%K -27.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -7.66%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -8.32%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 14:10
betfred_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -10.07%E -7.74%K -33.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -7.66%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -3.03%E -0.551%K -0.674%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 14:42
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -8.68%E -6.58%K -27.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -7.66%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -10.08%E -1.98%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 14:04
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -8.68%E -6.58%K -27.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -7.66%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -10.08%E -1.98%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 14:04
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 69.82%EV -9.38%E -7.16%K -30.25%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.55%EV -10.96%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -3.03%E -0.551%K -0.674%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 14:44
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 68.92%EV -11.45%E -8.95%K -40.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.07%EV -10.96%E -1.62%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.00%EV -13.61%E -2.78%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-01 14:05
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -10.07%E -7.74%K -33.56%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.48%EV -11.62%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.04%EV -6.56%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 14:05
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 68.59%EV -11.45%E -8.95%K -40.90%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.30%EV -12.94%E -1.96%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.10%EV -14.49%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 14:05
Betclic (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 68.59%EV -11.45%E -8.95%K -40.90%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.30%EV -12.94%E -1.96%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.10%EV -14.49%E -2.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-01 14:08
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 68.27%EV -6.61%E -4.90%K -18.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -14.26%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -7.44%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 14:49
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 68.59%EV -7.99%E -6.01%K -24.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -14.26%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -7.44%E -1.42%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 19:59
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -10.07%E -7.74%K -33.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -14.26%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.85%E -2.37%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-01 14:45
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.52%EV -10.76%E -8.34%K -37.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.14%EV -17.55%E -2.81%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.33%EV -10.08%E -1.98%K -2.46%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-01 14:05
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 67.99%EV -12.14%E -9.56%K -44.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.39%EV -20.85%E -3.48%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.62%EV -13.61%E -2.78%K -3.49%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-01 14:05
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 66.68%EV -10.07%E -7.74%K -33.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.07%EV -24.15%E -4.20%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.25%EV -16.26%E -3.42%K -4.33%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-01 14:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.