Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viking FK v IK Start

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 14:00 UTC

Final: Viking FK 6–3 IK Start

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viking FK (Local)

Prediction 79.68%1.26fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -3.66%
Kelly -21.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.99%79.69%79.62%81.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.171.171.2090.09%85.71%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IK Start (Visit)

Prediction 7.33%13.64fair odd
EV +17.30%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.199%

assuming max odds 16.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.91%7.35%7.35%9.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0012.2412.0016.0010.00%8.17%8.33%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 12.99%7.70fair odd
EV +5.89%
Edge +0.723%
Kelly +0.824%
Growth +0.049%

assuming max odds 8.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.92%12.96%13.03%14.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.906.808.1516.67%14.48%14.71%12.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Viking FK (Local): 79.68%; IK Start (Visit): 7.33%; Draw: 12.99%. For IK Start (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.64. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.17%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.23%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +17.30%E +1.08%K +1.15%G +0.199%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.91%EV -11.65%E -1.71%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 13:20
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.17%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.23%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +17.30%E +1.08%K +1.15%G +0.199%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.91%EV -11.65%E -1.71%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 13:20
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.38%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.23%G +0.000%15.20I 6.58%NM 6.24%EV +11.43%E +0.752%K +0.805%G +0.092%7.09I 14.10%NM 13.38%EV -7.88%E -1.11%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 13:50
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 81.61%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.29%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.47%EV +9.96%E +0.664%K +0.712%G +0.071%8.15I 12.27%NM 11.92%EV +5.89%E +0.723%K +0.824%G +0.049%3.0%2026-05-16 12:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +9.96%E +0.664%K +0.712%G +0.071%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -2.55%E -0.340%K -0.393%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 13:54
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.37%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.23%G +0.000%14.42I 6.93%NM 6.66%EV +5.71%E +0.396%K +0.426%G +0.024%8.02I 12.47%NM 11.97%EV +4.20%E +0.524%K +0.599%G +0.025%4.1%2026-05-16 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV +2.63%E +0.188%K +0.203%G +0.005%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -2.55%E -0.340%K -0.393%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 13:50
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.84%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.35%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV +2.63%E +0.188%K +0.203%G +0.005%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -18.79%E -3.01%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 13:25
GTbets🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.68%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.23%G +0.000%13.46I 7.43%NM 6.99%EV -1.33%E -0.098%K -0.106%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.34%EV -8.40%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 12:14
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -2.55%E -0.340%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 13:25
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 13:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.16%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 13:10
Fanatics🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.35%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 13:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 13:05
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 13:55
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 13:55
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -9.97%E -8.82%K -76.66%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 13:00
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 80.25%EV -10.76%E -9.61%K -89.69%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 13:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.16%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -8.36%E -0.669%K -0.727%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.34%EV -1.25%E -0.165%K -0.190%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.16%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -8.36%E -0.669%K -0.727%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.34%EV -1.25%E -0.165%K -0.190%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:25
BetAnything🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.16%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -8.36%E -0.669%K -0.727%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.34%EV -1.25%E -0.165%K -0.190%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:25
Casumo🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:05
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:05
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:10
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -15.55%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 13:10
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -9.17%E -8.04%K -65.50%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -2.55%E -0.340%K -0.393%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 12:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.05%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.37%EV -11.65%E -1.71%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 13:50
Everygame🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.98%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 13:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -9.17%E -8.04%K -65.50%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -22.04%E -3.67%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-16 13:25
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.00%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.00%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:05
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.14%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.29%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 11:05
Grosvenor🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.14%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.29%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 11:05
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.23%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -15.55%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -15.55%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 11:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -15.55%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 11:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 78.91%EV -11.56%E -10.41%K -105.09%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.62%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.48%EV -15.55%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-16 13:50
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.46%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -19.36%E -1.76%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.99%EV -5.80%E -0.800%K -0.928%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 12:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.50%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -19.36%E -1.76%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -2.55%E -0.340%K -0.393%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -19.36%E -1.76%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 12:10
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 77.72%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -19.36%E -1.76%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -16.84%E -2.63%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 11:05
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 76.99%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -19.36%E -1.76%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -22.04%E -3.67%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 13:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 77.64%EV -9.97%E -8.82%K -76.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.98%EV -19.36%E -1.76%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.38%EV -20.74%E -3.40%K -4.07%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 11:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 78.15%EV -10.76%E -9.61%K -89.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.96%EV -19.36%E -1.76%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.89%EV -18.14%E -2.88%K -3.42%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-16 13:50
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.88%EV -9.17%E -8.04%K -65.50%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.46%EV -23.03%E -2.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -15.55%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-16 11:40
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -26.69%E -2.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -26.69%E -2.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 13:50
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -26.69%E -2.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -26.69%E -2.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 77.71%EV -9.97%E -8.82%K -76.66%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.78%EV -26.69%E -2.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -15.55%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.41%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.77%1.1%2026-05-16 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.26%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.75%1.3%2026-05-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.26%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.75%1.3%2026-05-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.26%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.75%1.3%2026-05-16 13:40
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 82.11%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.16%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.73%1.5%2026-05-16 13:55