L’École des cotes

Viking FK v IK Start

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 14:00 UTC

Score final : Viking FK 6–3 IK Start

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Viking FK (Local)

Prévision 79.68%1.26cote équitable
EV -4.39%
Avantage -3.66%
Kelly -21.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.99%79.69%79.62%81.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.171.171.2090.09%85.71%85.47%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IK Start (Visiteur)

Prévision 7.33%13.64cote équitable
EV +17.30%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.15%
Croissance +0.199%

avec la cote maximale 16.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.91%7.35%7.35%9.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
10.0012.2412.0016.0010.00%8.17%8.33%6.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 12.99%7.70cote équitable
EV +5.89%
Avantage +0.723%
Kelly +0.824%
Croissance +0.049%

avec la cote maximale 8.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.92%12.96%13.03%14.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.906.808.1516.67%14.48%14.71%12.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 80.17%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.23%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +17.30%E +1.08%K +1.15%G +0.199%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.91%EV -11.65%E -1.71%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 13:20
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.17%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.23%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +17.30%E +1.08%K +1.15%G +0.199%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.91%EV -11.65%E -1.71%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 13:20
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.38%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.23%G +0.000%15.20I 6.58%NM 6.24%EV +11.43%E +0.752%K +0.805%G +0.092%7.09I 14.10%NM 13.38%EV -7.88%E -1.11%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 13:50
Coolbet1.19I 84.03%NM 81.61%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.29%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.47%EV +9.96%E +0.664%K +0.712%G +0.071%8.15I 12.27%NM 11.92%EV +5.89%E +0.723%K +0.824%G +0.049%3.0%2026-05-16 12:59
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +9.96%E +0.664%K +0.712%G +0.071%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -2.55%E -0.340%K -0.393%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 13:54
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 81.37%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.23%G +0.000%14.42I 6.93%NM 6.66%EV +5.71%E +0.396%K +0.426%G +0.024%8.02I 12.47%NM 11.97%EV +4.20%E +0.524%K +0.599%G +0.025%4.1%2026-05-16 13:40
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV +2.63%E +0.188%K +0.203%G +0.005%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -2.55%E -0.340%K -0.393%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 13:50
PlayUp1.16I 86.21%NM 78.84%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.35%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV +2.63%E +0.188%K +0.203%G +0.005%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -18.79%E -3.01%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 13:25
GTbets1.18I 84.75%NM 79.68%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.23%G +0.000%13.46I 7.43%NM 6.99%EV -1.33%E -0.098%K -0.106%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.34%EV -8.40%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 12:14
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -2.55%E -0.340%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 13:25
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 13:25
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.16%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 13:10
Fanatics1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.35%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 13:25
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 13:05
Bovada1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 13:55
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 13:55
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -9.97%E -8.82%K -76.66%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 13:00
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 80.25%EV -10.76%E -9.61%K -89.69%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 13:00
BetOnline.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 80.16%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -8.36%E -0.669%K -0.727%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.34%EV -1.25%E -0.165%K -0.190%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:25
LowVig.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 80.16%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -8.36%E -0.669%K -0.727%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.34%EV -1.25%E -0.165%K -0.190%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:25
BetAnything1.17I 85.47%NM 80.16%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -8.36%E -0.669%K -0.727%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.34%EV -1.25%E -0.165%K -0.190%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:25
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:05
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:05
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:05
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:05
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:05
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:05
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:10
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -15.55%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 13:10
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -9.17%E -8.04%K -65.50%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -2.55%E -0.340%K -0.393%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 12:59
Codere (IT)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.05%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.37%EV -11.65%E -1.71%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 13:50
Everygame1.15I 86.96%NM 78.98%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 13:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -9.17%E -8.04%K -65.50%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -22.04%E -3.67%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-16 13:25
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 78.00%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.00%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:05
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.14%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.29%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 11:05
Grosvenor1.19I 84.03%NM 78.14%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.29%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 11:05
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.23%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -15.55%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 11:05
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -15.55%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 11:05
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -15.55%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 11:05
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 78.91%EV -11.56%E -10.41%K -105.09%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.62%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.48%EV -15.55%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-16 13:50
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.46%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -19.36%E -1.76%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.99%EV -5.80%E -0.800%K -0.928%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 12:05
Winamax (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.50%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -19.36%E -1.76%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -2.55%E -0.340%K -0.393%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 13:50
BoyleSports1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -19.36%E -1.76%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 12:10
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 77.72%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -19.36%E -1.76%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -16.84%E -2.63%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 11:05
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 76.99%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -19.36%E -1.76%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -22.04%E -3.67%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 13:10
PMU (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 77.64%EV -9.97%E -8.82%K -76.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.98%EV -19.36%E -1.76%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.38%EV -20.74%E -3.40%K -4.07%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 11:05
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 78.15%EV -10.76%E -9.61%K -89.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.96%EV -19.36%E -1.76%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.89%EV -18.14%E -2.88%K -3.42%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-16 13:50
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 77.88%EV -9.17%E -8.04%K -65.50%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.46%EV -23.03%E -2.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -15.55%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-16 11:40
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -26.69%E -2.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -26.69%E -2.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 13:50
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -26.69%E -2.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -26.69%E -2.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 13:50
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 77.71%EV -9.97%E -8.82%K -76.66%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.78%EV -26.69%E -2.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -15.55%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 13:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.41%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.77%1.1%2026-05-16 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.26%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.75%1.3%2026-05-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.26%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.75%1.3%2026-05-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.26%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.75%1.3%2026-05-16 13:40
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 82.11%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.16%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.73%1.5%2026-05-16 13:55