La escuela de los momios

Viking FK v IK Start

Inicio: 2026-05-16 14:00 UTC

Final: Viking FK 6–3 IK Start

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Viking FK (Local)

Predicción 79.68%1.26momio equitativo
EV -4.39%
Ventaja -3.66%
Kelly -21.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.99%79.69%79.62%81.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.171.171.2090.09%85.71%85.47%83.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IK Start (Visitante)

Predicción 7.33%13.64momio equitativo
EV +17.30%
Ventaja +1.08%
Kelly +1.15%
Crecimiento +0.199%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 16.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
5.91%7.35%7.35%9.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
10.0012.2412.0016.0010.00%8.17%8.33%6.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 12.99%7.70momio equitativo
EV +5.89%
Ventaja +0.723%
Kelly +0.824%
Crecimiento +0.049%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.92%12.96%13.03%14.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.006.906.808.1516.67%14.48%14.71%12.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 80.17%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.23%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +17.30%E +1.08%K +1.15%G +0.199%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.91%EV -11.65%E -1.71%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 13:20
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.17%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.23%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +17.30%E +1.08%K +1.15%G +0.199%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.91%EV -11.65%E -1.71%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 13:20
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.38%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.23%G +0.000%15.20I 6.58%NM 6.24%EV +11.43%E +0.752%K +0.805%G +0.092%7.09I 14.10%NM 13.38%EV -7.88%E -1.11%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 13:50
Coolbet1.19I 84.03%NM 81.61%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.29%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.47%EV +9.96%E +0.664%K +0.712%G +0.071%8.15I 12.27%NM 11.92%EV +5.89%E +0.723%K +0.824%G +0.049%3.0%2026-05-16 12:59
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +9.96%E +0.664%K +0.712%G +0.071%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -2.55%E -0.340%K -0.393%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 13:54
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 81.37%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.23%G +0.000%14.42I 6.93%NM 6.66%EV +5.71%E +0.396%K +0.426%G +0.024%8.02I 12.47%NM 11.97%EV +4.20%E +0.524%K +0.599%G +0.025%4.1%2026-05-16 13:40
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV +2.63%E +0.188%K +0.203%G +0.005%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -2.55%E -0.340%K -0.393%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 13:50
PlayUp1.16I 86.21%NM 78.84%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.35%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.53%EV +2.63%E +0.188%K +0.203%G +0.005%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.63%EV -18.79%E -3.01%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 13:25
GTbets1.18I 84.75%NM 79.68%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.23%G +0.000%13.46I 7.43%NM 6.99%EV -1.33%E -0.098%K -0.106%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.34%EV -8.40%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 12:14
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -2.55%E -0.340%K -0.393%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 13:25
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 13:25
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.16%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 13:10
Fanatics1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.35%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 13:25
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 13:05
Bovada1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 13:55
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 13:55
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 80.11%EV -9.97%E -8.82%K -76.66%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.96%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 13:00
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 80.25%EV -10.76%E -9.61%K -89.69%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.91%EV -4.70%E -0.361%K -0.391%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.84%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 13:00
BetOnline.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 80.16%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -8.36%E -0.669%K -0.727%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.34%EV -1.25%E -0.165%K -0.190%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:25
LowVig.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 80.16%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -8.36%E -0.669%K -0.727%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.34%EV -1.25%E -0.165%K -0.190%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:25
BetAnything1.17I 85.47%NM 80.16%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -8.36%E -0.669%K -0.727%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.34%EV -1.25%E -0.165%K -0.190%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 13:25
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:05
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:05
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:05
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:05
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:05
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 78.26%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 11:05
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:10
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -15.55%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 13:10
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 80.19%EV -9.17%E -8.04%K -65.50%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -2.55%E -0.340%K -0.393%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 12:59
Codere (IT)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.05%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.37%EV -11.65%E -1.71%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 13:50
Everygame1.15I 86.96%NM 78.98%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 13:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -9.17%E -8.04%K -65.50%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -12.03%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -22.04%E -3.67%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-16 13:25
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 78.00%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.00%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:05
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.14%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.29%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 11:05
Grosvenor1.19I 84.03%NM 78.14%EV -5.19%E -4.36%K -27.29%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -12.30%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 11:05
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -5.98%E -5.07%K -33.23%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -15.55%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 11:05
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -15.55%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 11:05
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -15.55%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 11:05
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 78.91%EV -11.56%E -10.41%K -105.09%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.62%EV -15.69%E -1.36%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.48%EV -15.55%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-16 13:50
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.46%EV -4.39%E -3.66%K -21.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -19.36%E -1.76%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.99%EV -5.80%E -0.800%K -0.928%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 12:05
Winamax (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.50%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -19.36%E -1.76%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -2.55%E -0.340%K -0.393%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 13:50
BoyleSports1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -8.37%E -7.28%K -55.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -19.36%E -1.76%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 12:10
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 77.72%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -19.36%E -1.76%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.09%EV -16.84%E -2.63%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 11:05
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 76.99%EV -7.58%E -6.53%K -47.35%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -19.36%E -1.76%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -22.04%E -3.67%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 13:10
PMU (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 77.64%EV -9.97%E -8.82%K -76.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.98%EV -19.36%E -1.76%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.38%EV -20.74%E -3.40%K -4.07%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 11:05
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 78.15%EV -10.76%E -9.61%K -89.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.96%EV -19.36%E -1.76%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.89%EV -18.14%E -2.88%K -3.42%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-16 13:50
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 77.88%EV -9.17%E -8.04%K -65.50%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.46%EV -23.03%E -2.19%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -15.55%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-16 11:40
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -26.69%E -2.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -26.69%E -2.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 13:50
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -26.69%E -2.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -6.78%E -5.79%K -39.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -26.69%E -2.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.05%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 13:50
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 77.71%EV -9.97%E -8.82%K -76.66%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.78%EV -26.69%E -2.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.51%EV -15.55%E -2.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 13:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.20I 83.33%NM 82.41%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.77%1.1%2026-05-16 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.26%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.75%1.3%2026-05-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.26%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.75%1.3%2026-05-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.26%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.75%1.3%2026-05-16 13:40
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 82.11%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.16%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.73%1.5%2026-05-16 13:55