Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.31
assuming max odds 9.66
assuming max odds 6.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Viking FK (Local): 72.87%; Aalesund (Visit): 11.67%; Draw: 15.47%. For Aalesund (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.57. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.69%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.12%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 9.66I 10.35%NM 9.95%EV +12.69%E +1.31%K +1.46%G +0.186% | 6.44I 15.53%NM 14.93%EV -0.402%E -0.062%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-24 12:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +10.82%E +1.14%K +1.27%G +0.138% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +10.82%E +1.14%K +1.27%G +0.138% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +10.82%E +1.14%K +1.27%G +0.138% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +10.82%E +1.14%K +1.27%G +0.138% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +10.82%E +1.14%K +1.27%G +0.138% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +10.82%E +1.14%K +1.27%G +0.138% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -11.10%E -9.10%K -50.45%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV +10.82%E +1.14%K +1.27%G +0.138% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +0.526%E +0.081%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 7.9% | 2026-08-28 05:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.64%EV -4.54%E -3.47%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.31%EV +6.15%E +0.676%K +0.760%G +0.047% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -19.58%E -3.77%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 07:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.64%EV -4.54%E -3.47%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.31%EV +6.15%E +0.676%K +0.760%G +0.047% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -19.58%E -3.77%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 07:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV +4.99%E +0.554%K +0.623%G +0.031% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-24 18:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.15%EV -11.10%E -9.10%K -50.45%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV +4.99%E +0.554%K +0.623%G +0.031% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.67%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-24 15:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.37%E -8.43%K -45.09%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.99%E +0.554%K +0.623%G +0.031% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.37%E -8.43%K -45.09%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.99%E +0.554%K +0.623%G +0.031% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.37%E -8.43%K -45.09%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.99%E +0.554%K +0.623%G +0.031% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-27 14:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.37%E -8.43%K -45.09%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.99%E +0.554%K +0.623%G +0.031% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -12.56%E -10.46%K -62.78%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV +4.99%E +0.554%K +0.623%G +0.031% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-24 16:03 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.58%EV -5.27%E -4.05%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.19%EV -0.263%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.23%EV -2.88%E -0.458%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-27 02:08 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.81%EV -9.64%E -7.78%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -0.846%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV +0.526%E +0.081%K +0.096%G +0.001% | 7.8% | 2026-08-27 16:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -0.846%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-24 15:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.02%EV -11.83%E -9.78%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -0.846%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -12.56%E -10.46%K -62.78%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -0.846%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -12.56%E -10.46%K -62.78%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -0.846%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -12.56%E -10.46%K -62.78%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -0.846%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 18:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.57%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.43%EV -3.18%E -0.383%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 6.33I 15.80%NM 14.99%EV -2.10%E -0.332%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 16:16 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.46%EV -7.46%E -5.87%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.24%EV -3.18%E -0.383%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -5.66%E -0.928%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-27 02:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.23%EV -7.46%E -5.87%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.27%EV -3.76%E -0.456%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-28 10:36 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.49%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.20%EV -4.35%E -0.530%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-27 02:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.15%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 8.04I 12.44%NM 11.65%EV -6.21%E -0.773%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 6.16I 16.23%NM 15.20%EV -4.73%E -0.768%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-27 02:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-27 02:33 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-27 02:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 02:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 14:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-27 10:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-27 10:36 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -22.67%E -4.53%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-28 07:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.28%EV -11.10%E -9.10%K -50.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-26 16:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.57%EV -7.46%E -5.87%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.82%EV -9.01%E -1.16%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.62%EV -8.75%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 10:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.57%EV -7.46%E -5.87%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.82%EV -9.01%E -1.16%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.62%EV -8.75%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 10:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.24%EV -4.54%E -3.47%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -12.51%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.14%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-27 02:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -12.51%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-27 02:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -12.51%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-28 07:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -12.51%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-28 10:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -5.27%E -4.05%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -12.51%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -14.94%E -2.72%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-28 12:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.70%EV -9.64%E -7.78%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -12.51%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.28%EV -8.75%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-27 16:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.91%EV -7.46%E -5.87%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.34%EV -13.68%E -1.85%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-27 02:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.55%EV -10.37%E -8.43%K -45.09%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.06%EV -13.68%E -1.85%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.39%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-27 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.60%EV -8.18%E -6.50%K -31.48%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.37%EV -21.26%E -3.15%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-27 02:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -24.18%E -3.72%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.77%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-27 02:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -24.18%E -3.72%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.77%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-27 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.45%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.87%EV -24.18%E -3.72%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-27 02:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.45%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.87%EV -24.18%E -3.72%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-27 02:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.20%EV -9.64%E -7.78%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -24.18%E -3.72%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.22%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-27 02:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.44%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV -24.18%E -3.72%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.01%EV -14.94%E -2.72%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-28 07:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.59% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.12% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.29% | 2.2% | 2026-08-28 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.59% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.12% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.29% | 2.2% | 2026-08-28 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.59% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.12% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.29% | 2.2% | 2026-08-28 11:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.03% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.83% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 11:46 |