Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Viking FK v Aalesund

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Viking FK (Local)

Prévision 72.87%1.37cote équitable
EV -4.54%
Avantage -3.47%
Kelly -14.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.28%72.83%72.78%75.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.261.251.3183.33%79.45%80.00%76.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aalesund (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.67%8.57cote équitable
EV +12.69%
Avantage +1.31%
Kelly +1.46%
Croissance +0.186%

avec la cote maximale 9.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.76%11.63%11.74%13.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.508.218.229.6615.38%12.19%12.16%10.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 15.47%6.47cote équitable
EV +0.526%
Avantage +0.081%
Kelly +0.096%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.26%15.53%15.49%18.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.936.006.5020.00%16.86%16.67%15.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Viking FK (Local) : 72.87% ; Aalesund (Visiteur) : 11.67% ; Match nul : 15.47%. Pour Aalesund (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.57. 17 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.66, soit une espérance positive de +12.69%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.12%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.03%G +0.000%9.66I 10.35%NM 9.95%EV +12.69%E +1.31%K +1.46%G +0.186%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.93%EV -0.402%E -0.062%K -0.074%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 12:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +10.82%E +1.14%K +1.27%G +0.138%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 18:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +10.82%E +1.14%K +1.27%G +0.138%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 18:59
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +10.82%E +1.14%K +1.27%G +0.138%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 18:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +10.82%E +1.14%K +1.27%G +0.138%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 18:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +10.82%E +1.14%K +1.27%G +0.138%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 19:00
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +10.82%E +1.14%K +1.27%G +0.138%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -11.10%E -9.10%K -50.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV +10.82%E +1.14%K +1.27%G +0.138%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +0.526%E +0.081%K +0.096%G +0.001%7.9%2026-08-28 05:20
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.64%EV -4.54%E -3.47%K -14.65%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.31%EV +6.15%E +0.676%K +0.760%G +0.047%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -19.58%E -3.77%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 07:44
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.64%EV -4.54%E -3.47%K -14.65%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.31%EV +6.15%E +0.676%K +0.760%G +0.047%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -19.58%E -3.77%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 07:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV +4.99%E +0.554%K +0.623%G +0.031%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 18:34
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.15%EV -11.10%E -9.10%K -50.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV +4.99%E +0.554%K +0.623%G +0.031%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.67%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 15:14
Grosvenor🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.37%E -8.43%K -45.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.99%E +0.554%K +0.623%G +0.031%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.37%E -8.43%K -45.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.99%E +0.554%K +0.623%G +0.031%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 18:59
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.37%E -8.43%K -45.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.99%E +0.554%K +0.623%G +0.031%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-27 14:40
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.37%E -8.43%K -45.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.99%E +0.554%K +0.623%G +0.031%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 19:00
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -12.56%E -10.46%K -62.78%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV +4.99%E +0.554%K +0.623%G +0.031%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-24 16:03
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.58%EV -5.27%E -4.05%K -17.57%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 11.19%EV -0.263%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.23%EV -2.88%E -0.458%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-27 02:08
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.81%EV -9.64%E -7.78%K -40.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -0.846%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV +0.526%E +0.081%K +0.096%G +0.001%7.8%2026-08-27 16:00
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -0.846%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-24 15:09
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.02%EV -11.83%E -9.78%K -56.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -0.846%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 18:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -12.56%E -10.46%K -62.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -0.846%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 18:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -12.56%E -10.46%K -62.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -0.846%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 18:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -12.56%E -10.46%K -62.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -0.846%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 18:59
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.57%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.43%EV -3.18%E -0.383%K -0.435%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 14.99%EV -2.10%E -0.332%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:16
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.46%EV -7.46%E -5.87%K -27.61%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.24%EV -3.18%E -0.383%K -0.435%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -5.66%E -0.928%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-27 02:09
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.23%EV -7.46%E -5.87%K -27.61%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.27%EV -3.76%E -0.456%K -0.519%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 10:36
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.49%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.20%EV -4.35%E -0.530%K -0.604%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-27 02:09
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.15%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.03%G +0.000%8.04I 12.44%NM 11.65%EV -6.21%E -0.773%K -0.882%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.20%EV -4.73%E -0.768%K -0.917%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-27 02:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-27 02:33
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-27 02:09
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 02:50
BetAnything🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 14:34
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-27 10:34
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-27 10:36
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -22.67%E -4.53%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-28 07:00
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.28%EV -11.10%E -9.10%K -50.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-26 16:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.57%EV -7.46%E -5.87%K -27.61%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.82%EV -9.01%E -1.16%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.62%EV -8.75%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 10:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.57%EV -7.46%E -5.87%K -27.61%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.82%EV -9.01%E -1.16%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.62%EV -8.75%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 10:45
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.24%EV -4.54%E -3.47%K -14.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -12.51%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.14%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 02:09
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -12.51%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-27 02:09
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -12.51%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-28 07:10
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -12.51%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-28 10:00
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -5.27%E -4.05%K -17.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -12.51%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -14.94%E -2.72%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-28 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.70%EV -9.64%E -7.78%K -40.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -12.51%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.28%EV -8.75%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-27 16:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.91%EV -7.46%E -5.87%K -27.61%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.34%EV -13.68%E -1.85%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-27 02:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.55%EV -10.37%E -8.43%K -45.09%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.06%EV -13.68%E -1.85%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.39%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-27 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.60%EV -8.18%E -6.50%K -31.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.37%EV -21.26%E -3.15%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-27 02:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -24.18%E -3.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.77%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-27 02:09
Neds🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -24.18%E -3.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.77%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-27 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.45%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.87%EV -24.18%E -3.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-27 02:09
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.45%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.87%EV -24.18%E -3.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-27 02:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.20%EV -9.64%E -7.78%K -40.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -24.18%E -3.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.22%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-27 02:34
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.44%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV -24.18%E -3.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.01%EV -14.94%E -2.72%K -3.32%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-28 07:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 73.59%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.12%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.29%2.2%2026-08-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 73.59%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.12%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.29%2.2%2026-08-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 73.59%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.12%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.29%2.2%2026-08-28 11:40
Smarkets◎1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.83%5.4%2026-08-28 11:46