Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Viking FK v Aalesund

Início: 2026-08-29 16:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Viking FK (Local)

Previsão 72.87%1.37odd justa
EV -4.54%
Vantagem -3.47%
Kelly -14.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.28%72.83%72.78%75.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.201.261.251.3183.33%79.45%80.00%76.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Aalesund (Visitante)

Previsão 11.67%8.57odd justa
EV +12.69%
Vantagem +1.31%
Kelly +1.46%
Crescimento +0.186%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.76%11.63%11.74%13.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.508.218.229.6615.38%12.19%12.16%10.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 15.47%6.47odd justa
EV +0.526%
Vantagem +0.081%
Kelly +0.096%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.26%15.53%15.49%18.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.005.936.006.5020.00%16.86%16.67%15.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Viking FK (Local): 72.87%; Aalesund (Visitante): 11.67%; Empate: 15.47%. Para Aalesund (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 8.57. 17 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 9.66, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +12.69%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.12%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.03%G +0.000%9.66I 10.35%NM 9.95%EV +12.69%E +1.31%K +1.46%G +0.186%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.93%EV -0.402%E -0.062%K -0.074%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 12:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +10.82%E +1.14%K +1.27%G +0.138%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 18:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +10.82%E +1.14%K +1.27%G +0.138%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 18:59
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +10.82%E +1.14%K +1.27%G +0.138%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 18:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +10.82%E +1.14%K +1.27%G +0.138%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 18:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +10.82%E +1.14%K +1.27%G +0.138%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 19:00
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +10.82%E +1.14%K +1.27%G +0.138%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -11.10%E -9.10%K -50.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV +10.82%E +1.14%K +1.27%G +0.138%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +0.526%E +0.081%K +0.096%G +0.001%7.9%2026-08-28 05:20
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.64%EV -4.54%E -3.47%K -14.65%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.31%EV +6.15%E +0.676%K +0.760%G +0.047%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -19.58%E -3.77%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 07:44
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.64%EV -4.54%E -3.47%K -14.65%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.31%EV +6.15%E +0.676%K +0.760%G +0.047%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -19.58%E -3.77%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 07:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV +4.99%E +0.554%K +0.623%G +0.031%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 18:34
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.15%EV -11.10%E -9.10%K -50.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV +4.99%E +0.554%K +0.623%G +0.031%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.67%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 15:14
Grosvenor🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.37%E -8.43%K -45.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.99%E +0.554%K +0.623%G +0.031%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.37%E -8.43%K -45.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.99%E +0.554%K +0.623%G +0.031%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 18:59
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.37%E -8.43%K -45.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.99%E +0.554%K +0.623%G +0.031%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-27 14:40
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.37%E -8.43%K -45.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.99%E +0.554%K +0.623%G +0.031%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 19:00
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -12.56%E -10.46%K -62.78%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV +4.99%E +0.554%K +0.623%G +0.031%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-24 16:03
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.58%EV -5.27%E -4.05%K -17.57%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 11.19%EV -0.263%E -0.031%K -0.035%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.23%EV -2.88%E -0.458%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-27 02:08
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.81%EV -9.64%E -7.78%K -40.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -0.846%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV +0.526%E +0.081%K +0.096%G +0.001%7.8%2026-08-27 16:00
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -0.846%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-24 15:09
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.02%EV -11.83%E -9.78%K -56.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -0.846%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 18:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -12.56%E -10.46%K -62.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -0.846%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 18:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -12.56%E -10.46%K -62.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -0.846%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 18:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -12.56%E -10.46%K -62.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -0.846%E -0.100%K -0.113%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 18:59
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.57%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.43%EV -3.18%E -0.383%K -0.435%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 14.99%EV -2.10%E -0.332%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 16:16
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.46%EV -7.46%E -5.87%K -27.61%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.24%EV -3.18%E -0.383%K -0.435%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -5.66%E -0.928%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-27 02:09
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.23%EV -7.46%E -5.87%K -27.61%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.27%EV -3.76%E -0.456%K -0.519%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 10:36
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.49%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.20%EV -4.35%E -0.530%K -0.604%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-27 02:09
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.15%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.03%G +0.000%8.04I 12.44%NM 11.65%EV -6.21%E -0.773%K -0.882%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.20%EV -4.73%E -0.768%K -0.917%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-27 02:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-27 02:33
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-27 02:09
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 02:50
BetAnything🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 14:34
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-27 10:34
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-27 10:36
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -22.67%E -4.53%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-28 07:00
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.28%EV -11.10%E -9.10%K -50.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -6.68%E -0.835%K -0.954%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-26 16:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.57%EV -7.46%E -5.87%K -27.61%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.82%EV -9.01%E -1.16%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.62%EV -8.75%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 10:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.57%EV -7.46%E -5.87%K -27.61%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.82%EV -9.01%E -1.16%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.62%EV -8.75%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 10:45
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.24%EV -4.54%E -3.47%K -14.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -12.51%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.14%EV -3.34%E -0.535%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 02:09
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -12.51%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-27 02:09
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -12.51%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-28 07:10
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -12.51%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-28 10:00
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -5.27%E -4.05%K -17.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -12.51%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -14.94%E -2.72%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-28 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.70%EV -9.64%E -7.78%K -40.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -12.51%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.28%EV -8.75%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-27 16:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.91%EV -7.46%E -5.87%K -27.61%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.34%EV -13.68%E -1.85%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-27 02:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.55%EV -10.37%E -8.43%K -45.09%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.06%EV -13.68%E -1.85%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.39%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-27 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.60%EV -8.18%E -6.50%K -31.48%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.37%EV -21.26%E -3.15%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -7.21%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-27 02:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -24.18%E -3.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.77%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-27 02:09
Neds🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -24.18%E -3.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.77%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-27 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.45%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.87%EV -24.18%E -3.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-27 02:09
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.45%EV -6.73%E -5.26%K -24.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.87%EV -24.18%E -3.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -11.07%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-27 02:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.20%EV -9.64%E -7.78%K -40.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -24.18%E -3.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.22%EV -10.30%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-27 02:34
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.44%EV -8.91%E -7.13%K -35.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV -24.18%E -3.72%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.01%EV -14.94%E -2.72%K -3.32%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-28 07:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 73.59%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.12%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.29%2.2%2026-08-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 73.59%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.12%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.29%2.2%2026-08-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 73.59%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.12%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.29%2.2%2026-08-28 11:40
Smarkets◎1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.83%5.4%2026-08-28 11:46