Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viking FK v Aalesund

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 15:02 UTC

Final: Viking FK 2–1 Aalesund

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viking FK (Local)

Prediction 72.70%1.38fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -3.05%
Kelly -12.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.28%72.77%72.58%75.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.271.271.3283.33%78.99%78.74%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aalesund (Visit)

Prediction 12.04%8.31fair odd
EV +15.57%
Edge +1.62%
Kelly +1.81%
Growth +0.282%

assuming max odds 9.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.77%11.90%12.15%13.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.797.889.6015.38%12.83%12.69%10.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 15.26%6.55fair odd
EV +6.04%
Edge +0.869%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.061%

assuming max odds 6.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.96%15.33%15.27%18.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.926.006.9520.00%16.89%16.67%14.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Viking FK (Local): 72.70%; Aalesund (Visit): 12.04%; Draw: 15.26%. For Aalesund (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.31. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.18%EV -5.48%E -4.22%K -18.28%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.77%EV +15.57%E +1.62%K +1.81%G +0.282%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -20.66%E -3.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.18%EV -5.48%E -4.22%K -18.28%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.77%EV +15.57%E +1.62%K +1.81%G +0.282%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -20.66%E -3.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 14:55
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.82%EV -6.94%E -5.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.22%EV +14.37%E +1.51%K +1.69%G +0.243%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.96%EV +6.04%E +0.869%K +1.02%G +0.061%3.0%2026-08-30 13:55
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.57%E -8.60%K -45.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +8.35%E +0.927%K +1.04%G +0.087%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -11.51%E -1.98%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 18:15
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.66%EV -7.67%E -6.04%K -28.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +2.33%E +0.274%K +0.310%G +0.007%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -6.93%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.66%EV -7.67%E -6.04%K -28.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +2.33%E +0.274%K +0.310%G +0.007%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -6.93%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.66%EV -7.67%E -6.04%K -28.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +2.33%E +0.274%K +0.310%G +0.007%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -6.93%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.66%EV -7.67%E -6.04%K -28.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +2.33%E +0.274%K +0.310%G +0.007%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -6.93%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:55
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.66%EV -7.67%E -6.04%K -28.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +2.33%E +0.274%K +0.310%G +0.007%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -6.93%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.66%EV -7.67%E -6.04%K -28.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +2.33%E +0.274%K +0.310%G +0.007%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -6.93%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.66%EV -7.67%E -6.04%K -28.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +2.33%E +0.274%K +0.310%G +0.007%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -6.93%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -9.12%E -7.30%K -36.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV +2.33%E +0.274%K +0.310%G +0.007%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.50%EV -9.85%E -7.94%K -41.03%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.05%EV -0.682%E -0.083%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -9.98%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.44%EV -7.67%E -6.04%K -28.39%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.51%EV -2.49%E -0.307%K -0.350%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -5.40%E -0.872%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 14:49
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -9.12%E -7.30%K -36.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -9.12%E -7.30%K -36.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 14:24
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -9.12%E -7.30%K -36.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 14:25
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -9.85%E -7.94%K -41.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 14:59
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.06%EV -9.85%E -7.94%K -41.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -11.51%E -1.98%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 14:55
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.06%EV -9.85%E -7.94%K -41.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -11.51%E -1.98%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 14:55
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.94%E -5.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -23.71%E -4.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 14:30
TABtouch🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.12%EV -10.57%E -8.60%K -45.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -12.27%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.44%EV -12.03%E -9.94%K -57.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.45%EV -12.27%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.44%EV -12.03%E -9.94%K -57.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.45%EV -12.27%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.44%EV -12.03%E -9.94%K -57.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.45%EV -12.27%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -11.30%E -9.26%K -51.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -16.08%E -2.92%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -11.30%E -9.26%K -51.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -16.08%E -2.92%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 14:45
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.08%EV -4.76%E -3.63%K -15.35%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -5.14%E -0.652%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.77%EV -1.13%E -0.175%K -0.206%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.43%EV -9.12%E -7.30%K -36.48%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.77%EV -6.10%E -0.782%K -0.897%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -5.40%E -0.872%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 14:55
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.60%EV -6.94%E -5.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.21%EV -8.39%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.18%EV -6.62%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.48%E -4.22%K -18.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -9.71%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:35
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.48%E -4.22%K -18.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -9.71%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:59
BetUS🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.48%E -4.22%K -18.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -9.71%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:59
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -6.94%E -5.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -9.71%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.07%EV -6.94%E -5.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.71%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -9.98%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 15:00
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -7.67%E -6.04%K -28.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -9.71%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 14:55
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -9.12%E -7.30%K -36.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -9.71%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -16.08%E -2.92%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 14:30
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.90%EV -9.85%E -7.94%K -41.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -9.71%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -16.08%E -2.92%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 14:55
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -12.76%E -10.63%K -63.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -9.71%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-30 15:00
BetAnything🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.16%EV -5.48%E -4.22%K -18.28%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.59%EV -10.31%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.25%EV -6.17%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 14:59
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.99%EV -4.03%E -3.05%K -12.60%G +0.000%7.27I 13.76%NM 13.07%EV -12.48%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.36I 15.72%NM 14.94%EV -2.96%E -0.466%K -0.553%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 14:55
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.93%EV -4.76%E -3.63%K -15.35%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.00%EV -12.72%E -1.75%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.64%E -0.743%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.27%EV -8.39%E -6.66%K -32.28%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -12.72%E -1.75%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.58%EV -9.85%E -7.94%K -41.03%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.41%EV -12.72%E -1.75%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 14:57
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.78%EV -4.76%E -3.63%K -15.35%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.06%EV -13.32%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV -5.40%E -0.872%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.78%EV -4.76%E -3.63%K -15.35%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.06%EV -13.32%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV -5.40%E -0.872%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.50%EV -10.57%E -8.60%K -45.97%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.39%EV -13.32%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.11%EV -9.98%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 14:35
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.31%EV -5.48%E -4.22%K -18.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -15.73%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 14:55
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.93%EV -5.48%E -4.22%K -18.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -15.73%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -11.51%E -1.98%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 15:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.41%EV -7.67%E -6.04%K -28.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -15.73%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -11.51%E -1.98%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 14:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.87%EV -7.67%E -6.04%K -28.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.33%EV -18.74%E -2.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.79%EV -13.03%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 15:00
Neds🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -6.21%E -4.82%K -21.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -21.75%E -3.35%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.77%EV -12.27%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -6.21%E -4.82%K -21.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -21.75%E -3.35%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.77%EV -12.27%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 14:35
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.45%EV -6.94%E -5.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.87%EV -21.75%E -3.35%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -12.27%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.45%EV -6.94%E -5.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.87%EV -21.75%E -3.35%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -12.27%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 14:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.08%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.69%0.1%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.26%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.14%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%0.7%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.26%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.14%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%0.7%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.40%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.08%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%1.2%2026-08-30 15:00
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 74.71%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.12%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.18%3.0%2026-08-30 15:00