Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viking FK v Aalesund

2026-08-30 15:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viking FK (Local)

Prediction 72.84%1.37fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -3.49%
Kelly -14.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.77%72.71%72.76%75.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.261.251.3183.33%79.67%80.00%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aalesund (Visit)

Prediction 11.56%8.65fair odd
EV +11.67%
Edge +1.21%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.157%

assuming max odds 9.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.88%11.58%11.60%13.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.508.308.509.6615.38%12.05%11.76%10.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 15.60%6.41fair odd
EV +0.461%
Edge +0.072%
Kelly +0.085%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.93%15.71%15.64%18.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.876.006.4420.00%17.03%16.67%15.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Viking FK (Local): 72.84%; Aalesund (Visit): 11.56%; Draw: 15.60%. For Aalesund (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.65. 16 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.66, producing a positive expected value of +11.67%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.12%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.16%G +0.000%9.66I 10.35%NM 9.95%EV +11.67%E +1.21%K +1.35%G +0.157%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.93%EV +0.461%E +0.072%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-28 12:35
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +9.82%E +1.03%K +1.15%G +0.113%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.50%E -0.401%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 10:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +9.82%E +1.03%K +1.15%G +0.113%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.50%E -0.401%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 10:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +9.82%E +1.03%K +1.15%G +0.113%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.50%E -0.401%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 10:35
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +9.82%E +1.03%K +1.15%G +0.113%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.50%E -0.401%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 10:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +9.82%E +1.03%K +1.15%G +0.113%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.50%E -0.401%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 10:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +9.82%E +1.03%K +1.15%G +0.113%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.50%E -0.401%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 10:35
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.64%EV -4.58%E -3.49%K -14.77%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.31%EV +5.19%E +0.571%K +0.641%G +0.033%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -18.88%E -3.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 12:50
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.64%EV -4.58%E -3.49%K -14.77%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.31%EV +5.19%E +0.571%K +0.641%G +0.033%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -18.88%E -3.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 12:54
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.22%E -6.52%K -31.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +4.04%E +0.449%K +0.505%G +0.020%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 13:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV +4.04%E +0.449%K +0.505%G +0.020%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 13:05
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.41%E -8.46%K -45.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.04%E +0.449%K +0.505%G +0.020%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -9.52%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.41%E -8.46%K -45.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.04%E +0.449%K +0.505%G +0.020%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -9.52%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 10:35
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.41%E -8.46%K -45.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.04%E +0.449%K +0.505%G +0.020%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -9.52%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 10:35
Grosvenor🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.41%E -8.46%K -45.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.04%E +0.449%K +0.505%G +0.020%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -9.52%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 10:35
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.16%EV -9.68%E -7.80%K -40.32%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.51%EV +1.15%E +0.131%K +0.148%G +0.002%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 13:03
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -1.74%E -0.205%K -0.232%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-28 10:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -1.74%E -0.205%K -0.232%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-28 13:05
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -11.13%E -9.13%K -50.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -1.74%E -0.205%K -0.232%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-28 13:04
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.02%EV -11.86%E -9.80%K -56.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -1.74%E -0.205%K -0.232%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -9.52%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-28 10:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -12.59%E -10.49%K -62.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -1.74%E -0.205%K -0.232%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -10.30%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-28 10:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -12.59%E -10.49%K -62.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -1.74%E -0.205%K -0.232%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -10.30%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-28 10:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -12.59%E -10.49%K -62.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -1.74%E -0.205%K -0.232%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -10.30%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-28 10:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.46%EV -7.49%E -5.90%K -27.75%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.24%EV -4.06%E -0.489%K -0.555%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -4.84%E -0.794%K -0.950%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 11:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.49%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.20%EV -5.21%E -0.635%K -0.724%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 10:50
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71%EV -4.58%E -3.49%K -14.77%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.83%EV -6.95%E -0.863%K -0.985%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.46%EV -3.91%E -0.634%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 10:40
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.15%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.16%G +0.000%8.04I 12.44%NM 11.65%EV -7.06%E -0.878%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.20%EV -3.91%E -0.634%K -0.757%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 10:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 10:35
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 12:39
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 13:04
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 11:44
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 11:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.57%EV -7.49%E -5.90%K -27.75%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.82%EV -9.83%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.62%EV -7.96%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 12:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.57%EV -7.49%E -5.90%K -27.75%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.82%EV -9.83%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.62%EV -7.96%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 12:39
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -13.30%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -10.30%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-28 11:25
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -5.31%E -4.08%K -17.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -13.30%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -14.20%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-28 12:39
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -5.31%E -4.08%K -17.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.30%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -22.00%E -4.40%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 12:55
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -11.13%E -9.13%K -50.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -13.30%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -14.20%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-28 13:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.91%EV -7.49%E -5.90%K -27.75%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.34%EV -14.46%E -1.95%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -9.52%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-28 10:35
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.01%EV -7.49%E -5.90%K -27.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -19.08%E -2.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.10%EV -12.64%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-28 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.30%EV -9.68%E -7.80%K -40.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -19.08%E -2.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.07%EV -14.20%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-28 10:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.33%EV -10.41%E -8.46%K -45.24%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.72%EV -20.24%E -2.93%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -14.20%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-28 10:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.60%EV -8.22%E -6.52%K -31.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.37%EV -21.97%E -3.26%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-28 10:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.20%EV -9.68%E -7.80%K -40.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -24.86%E -3.82%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.22%EV -9.52%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-28 10:35
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.44%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV -24.86%E -3.82%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.01%EV -14.20%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-28 11:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 72.91%8.20I 12.20%NM 10.76%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.34%13.4%2026-08-28 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 43.68%8.80I 11.36%NM 6.06%1.06I 94.34%NM 50.27%87.7%2026-08-28 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 43.68%8.80I 11.36%NM 6.06%1.06I 94.34%NM 50.27%87.7%2026-08-28 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 42.62%8.80I 11.36%NM 5.91%1.01I 99.01%NM 51.48%92.3%2026-08-28 12:55