Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Viking FK v Aalesund

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 15:02 UTC

Score final : Viking FK 2–1 Aalesund

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Viking FK (Local)

Prévision 72.70%1.38cote équitable
EV -4.03%
Avantage -3.05%
Kelly -12.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.28%72.77%72.58%75.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.271.271.3283.33%78.99%78.74%75.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aalesund (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.04%8.31cote équitable
EV +15.57%
Avantage +1.62%
Kelly +1.81%
Croissance +0.282%

avec la cote maximale 9.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.77%11.90%12.15%13.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.507.797.889.6015.38%12.83%12.69%10.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 15.26%6.55cote équitable
EV +6.04%
Avantage +0.869%
Kelly +1.02%
Croissance +0.061%

avec la cote maximale 6.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.96%15.33%15.27%18.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.926.006.9520.00%16.89%16.67%14.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Viking FK (Local) : 72.70% ; Aalesund (Visiteur) : 12.04% ; Match nul : 15.26%. Pour Aalesund (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.31. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.60, soit une espérance positive de +15.57%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.18%EV -5.48%E -4.22%K -18.28%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.77%EV +15.57%E +1.62%K +1.81%G +0.282%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -20.66%E -3.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.18%EV -5.48%E -4.22%K -18.28%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.77%EV +15.57%E +1.62%K +1.81%G +0.282%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -20.66%E -3.97%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 14:55
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.82%EV -6.94%E -5.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.22%EV +14.37%E +1.51%K +1.69%G +0.243%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.96%EV +6.04%E +0.869%K +1.02%G +0.061%3.0%2026-08-30 13:55
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.57%E -8.60%K -45.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +8.35%E +0.927%K +1.04%G +0.087%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -11.51%E -1.98%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 18:15
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.66%EV -7.67%E -6.04%K -28.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +2.33%E +0.274%K +0.310%G +0.007%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -6.93%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.66%EV -7.67%E -6.04%K -28.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +2.33%E +0.274%K +0.310%G +0.007%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -6.93%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.66%EV -7.67%E -6.04%K -28.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +2.33%E +0.274%K +0.310%G +0.007%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -6.93%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.66%EV -7.67%E -6.04%K -28.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +2.33%E +0.274%K +0.310%G +0.007%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -6.93%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:55
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.66%EV -7.67%E -6.04%K -28.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +2.33%E +0.274%K +0.310%G +0.007%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -6.93%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.66%EV -7.67%E -6.04%K -28.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +2.33%E +0.274%K +0.310%G +0.007%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -6.93%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.66%EV -7.67%E -6.04%K -28.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV +2.33%E +0.274%K +0.310%G +0.007%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -6.93%E -1.14%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -9.12%E -7.30%K -36.48%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV +2.33%E +0.274%K +0.310%G +0.007%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.50%EV -9.85%E -7.94%K -41.03%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.05%EV -0.682%E -0.083%K -0.094%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.45%EV -9.98%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.44%EV -7.67%E -6.04%K -28.39%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.51%EV -2.49%E -0.307%K -0.350%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -5.40%E -0.872%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 14:49
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -9.12%E -7.30%K -36.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -9.12%E -7.30%K -36.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 14:24
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -9.12%E -7.30%K -36.48%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 14:25
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -9.85%E -7.94%K -41.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 14:59
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.06%EV -9.85%E -7.94%K -41.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -11.51%E -1.98%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 14:55
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.06%EV -9.85%E -7.94%K -41.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -11.51%E -1.98%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 14:55
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.94%E -5.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -23.71%E -4.74%K -5.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 14:30
TABtouch🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.12%EV -10.57%E -8.60%K -45.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.64%EV -12.27%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.44%EV -12.03%E -9.94%K -57.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.45%EV -12.27%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.44%EV -12.03%E -9.94%K -57.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.45%EV -12.27%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.44%EV -12.03%E -9.94%K -57.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.45%EV -12.27%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -11.30%E -9.26%K -51.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -16.08%E -2.92%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -11.30%E -9.26%K -51.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -3.69%E -0.461%K -0.527%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -16.08%E -2.92%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 14:45
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.08%EV -4.76%E -3.63%K -15.35%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -5.14%E -0.652%K -0.746%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.77%EV -1.13%E -0.175%K -0.206%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.43%EV -9.12%E -7.30%K -36.48%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.77%EV -6.10%E -0.782%K -0.897%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -5.40%E -0.872%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 14:55
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.60%EV -6.94%E -5.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.21%EV -8.39%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.18%EV -6.62%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.48%E -4.22%K -18.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -9.71%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:35
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.48%E -4.22%K -18.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -9.71%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:59
BetUS🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.48%E -4.22%K -18.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -9.71%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 14:59
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.25%EV -6.94%E -5.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -9.71%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.07%EV -6.94%E -5.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -9.71%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.63%EV -9.98%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 15:00
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -7.67%E -6.04%K -28.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -9.71%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 14:55
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -9.12%E -7.30%K -36.48%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -9.71%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -16.08%E -2.92%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 14:30
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.90%EV -9.85%E -7.94%K -41.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -9.71%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -16.08%E -2.92%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 14:55
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -12.76%E -10.63%K -63.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -9.71%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-30 15:00
BetAnything🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.16%EV -5.48%E -4.22%K -18.28%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.59%EV -10.31%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.25%EV -6.17%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 14:59
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.99%EV -4.03%E -3.05%K -12.60%G +0.000%7.27I 13.76%NM 13.07%EV -12.48%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.36I 15.72%NM 14.94%EV -2.96%E -0.466%K -0.553%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 14:55
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.93%EV -4.76%E -3.63%K -15.35%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.00%EV -12.72%E -1.75%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -4.64%E -0.743%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.27%EV -8.39%E -6.66%K -32.28%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -12.72%E -1.75%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.58%EV -9.85%E -7.94%K -41.03%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.41%EV -12.72%E -1.75%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 14:57
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.78%EV -4.76%E -3.63%K -15.35%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.06%EV -13.32%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV -5.40%E -0.872%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.78%EV -4.76%E -3.63%K -15.35%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.06%EV -13.32%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.17%EV -5.40%E -0.872%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.50%EV -10.57%E -8.60%K -45.97%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.39%EV -13.32%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.11%EV -9.98%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 14:35
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.31%EV -5.48%E -4.22%K -18.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -15.73%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -8.46%E -1.41%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 14:55
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.93%EV -5.48%E -4.22%K -18.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -15.73%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -11.51%E -1.98%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 15:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.41%EV -7.67%E -6.04%K -28.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -15.73%E -2.25%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -11.51%E -1.98%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 14:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.87%EV -7.67%E -6.04%K -28.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.33%EV -18.74%E -2.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.79%EV -13.03%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 15:00
Neds🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -6.21%E -4.82%K -21.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -21.75%E -3.35%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.77%EV -12.27%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -6.21%E -4.82%K -21.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -21.75%E -3.35%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.77%EV -12.27%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 14:35
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.45%EV -6.94%E -5.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.87%EV -21.75%E -3.35%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -12.27%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.45%EV -6.94%E -5.42%K -24.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.87%EV -21.75%E -3.35%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -12.27%E -2.13%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 14:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.08%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.69%0.1%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.26%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.14%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%0.7%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.26%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.14%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%0.7%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.40%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.08%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%1.2%2026-08-30 15:00
Smarkets◎1.30I 76.92%NM 74.71%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.12%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.18%3.0%2026-08-30 15:00