Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Viking FK v Aalesund

2026-08-30 15:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Viking FK (Local)

Prévision 72.84%1.37cote équitable
EV -4.58%
Avantage -3.49%
Kelly -14.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.44%72.71%72.76%75.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.251.251.3183.33%79.73%80.00%76.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aalesund (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.56%8.65cote équitable
EV +11.67%
Avantage +1.21%
Kelly +1.35%
Croissance +0.157%

avec la cote maximale 9.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.88%11.58%11.60%13.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.508.338.509.6615.38%12.00%11.76%10.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 15.60%6.41cote équitable
EV +0.461%
Avantage +0.072%
Kelly +0.085%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.93%15.71%15.64%18.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.886.006.4420.00%17.02%16.67%15.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Viking FK (Local) : 72.84% ; Aalesund (Visiteur) : 11.56% ; Match nul : 15.60%. Pour Aalesund (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 8.65. 16 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 9.66, pour une espérance positive de +11.67%.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.12%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.16%G +0.000%9.66I 10.35%NM 9.95%EV +11.67%E +1.21%K +1.35%G +0.157%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.93%EV +0.461%E +0.072%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-28 12:35
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +9.82%E +1.03%K +1.15%G +0.113%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.50%E -0.401%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 10:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +9.82%E +1.03%K +1.15%G +0.113%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.50%E -0.401%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 10:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +9.82%E +1.03%K +1.15%G +0.113%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.50%E -0.401%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 10:35
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +9.82%E +1.03%K +1.15%G +0.113%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.50%E -0.401%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 10:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +9.82%E +1.03%K +1.15%G +0.113%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.50%E -0.401%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 10:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +9.82%E +1.03%K +1.15%G +0.113%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.50%E -0.401%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 10:35
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.64%EV -4.58%E -3.49%K -14.77%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.31%EV +5.19%E +0.571%K +0.641%G +0.033%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -18.88%E -3.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 13:45
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.64%EV -4.58%E -3.49%K -14.77%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.31%EV +5.19%E +0.571%K +0.641%G +0.033%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -18.88%E -3.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 13:45
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.22%E -6.52%K -31.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +4.04%E +0.449%K +0.505%G +0.020%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 13:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV +4.04%E +0.449%K +0.505%G +0.020%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 13:05
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.41%E -8.46%K -45.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.04%E +0.449%K +0.505%G +0.020%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -9.52%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.41%E -8.46%K -45.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.04%E +0.449%K +0.505%G +0.020%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -9.52%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 10:35
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.41%E -8.46%K -45.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.04%E +0.449%K +0.505%G +0.020%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -9.52%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 10:35
Grosvenor🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.41%E -8.46%K -45.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.04%E +0.449%K +0.505%G +0.020%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -9.52%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 10:35
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.16%EV -9.68%E -7.80%K -40.32%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.51%EV +1.15%E +0.131%K +0.148%G +0.002%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 13:03
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.58%EV -5.31%E -4.08%K -17.69%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 11.19%EV -1.17%E -0.136%K -0.154%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.23%EV -2.04%E -0.324%K -0.385%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 13:10
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -1.74%E -0.205%K -0.232%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-28 10:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -1.74%E -0.205%K -0.232%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-28 13:05
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -11.13%E -9.13%K -50.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -1.74%E -0.205%K -0.232%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-28 13:04
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.02%EV -11.86%E -9.80%K -56.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -1.74%E -0.205%K -0.232%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -9.52%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-28 10:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -12.59%E -10.49%K -62.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -1.74%E -0.205%K -0.232%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -10.30%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-28 10:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -12.59%E -10.49%K -62.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -1.74%E -0.205%K -0.232%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -10.30%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-28 10:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -12.59%E -10.49%K -62.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -1.74%E -0.205%K -0.232%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -10.30%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-28 10:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.46%EV -7.49%E -5.90%K -27.75%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.24%EV -4.06%E -0.489%K -0.555%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -4.84%E -0.794%K -0.950%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 11:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.49%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.20%EV -5.21%E -0.635%K -0.724%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 13:45
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.15%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.16%G +0.000%8.04I 12.44%NM 11.65%EV -7.06%E -0.878%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.20%EV -3.91%E -0.634%K -0.757%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 10:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 10:35
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 12:39
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 13:04
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -14.20%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-28 13:15
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 11:44
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 11:44
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -22.00%E -4.40%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-28 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.57%EV -7.49%E -5.90%K -27.75%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.82%EV -9.83%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.62%EV -7.96%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 12:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.57%EV -7.49%E -5.90%K -27.75%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.82%EV -9.83%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.62%EV -7.96%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 12:39
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -13.30%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -10.30%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-28 11:25
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -11.13%E -9.13%K -50.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -13.30%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -14.20%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-28 13:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.91%EV -7.49%E -5.90%K -27.75%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.34%EV -14.46%E -1.95%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -9.52%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-28 10:35
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.01%EV -7.49%E -5.90%K -27.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -19.08%E -2.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.10%EV -12.64%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-28 13:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.30%EV -9.68%E -7.80%K -40.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -19.08%E -2.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.07%EV -14.20%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-28 10:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.33%EV -10.41%E -8.46%K -45.24%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.72%EV -20.24%E -2.93%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -14.20%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-28 10:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.60%EV -8.22%E -6.52%K -31.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.37%EV -21.97%E -3.26%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-28 10:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.20%EV -9.68%E -7.80%K -40.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -24.86%E -3.82%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.22%EV -9.52%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-28 10:35
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.44%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV -24.86%E -3.82%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.01%EV -14.20%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-28 11:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 69.94%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.33%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.73%17.2%2026-08-28 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 43.68%8.80I 11.36%NM 6.06%1.06I 94.34%NM 50.27%87.7%2026-08-28 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 43.68%8.80I 11.36%NM 6.06%1.06I 94.34%NM 50.27%87.7%2026-08-28 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 42.62%8.80I 11.36%NM 5.91%1.01I 99.01%NM 51.48%92.3%2026-08-28 12:55