StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Viking FK v Aalesund

2026-08-30 15:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Direkter Vergleich

45 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Viking FK (Heim)

Prognose 72.84%1.37faire Quote
EV -4.58%
Vorteil -3.49%
Kelly -14.77%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.31

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
70.44%72.71%72.76%75.12%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.201.251.251.3183.33%79.73%80.00%76.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Aalesund (Auswärts)

Prognose 11.56%8.65faire Quote
EV +11.67%
Vorteil +1.21%
Kelly +1.35%
Wachstum +0.157%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.66

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
9.88%11.58%11.60%13.58%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
6.508.338.509.6615.38%12.00%11.76%10.35%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 15.60%6.41faire Quote
EV +0.461%
Vorteil +0.072%
Kelly +0.085%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.44

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.93%15.71%15.64%18.08%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.005.886.006.4420.00%17.02%16.67%15.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Viking FK (Heim): 72.84%; Aalesund (Auswärts): 11.56%; Unentschieden: 15.60%. Für Aalesund (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 8.65. 16 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 9.66 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +11.67%.

Wettanbieterquoten (45 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.12%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.16%G +0.000%9.66I 10.35%NM 9.95%EV +11.67%E +1.21%K +1.35%G +0.157%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.93%EV +0.461%E +0.072%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-28 12:35
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +9.82%E +1.03%K +1.15%G +0.113%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.50%E -0.401%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 10:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +9.82%E +1.03%K +1.15%G +0.113%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.50%E -0.401%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 10:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +9.82%E +1.03%K +1.15%G +0.113%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.50%E -0.401%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 10:35
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +9.82%E +1.03%K +1.15%G +0.113%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.50%E -0.401%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 10:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +9.82%E +1.03%K +1.15%G +0.113%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.50%E -0.401%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 10:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +9.82%E +1.03%K +1.15%G +0.113%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -2.50%E -0.401%K -0.477%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-28 10:35
Betsson🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.64%EV -4.58%E -3.49%K -14.77%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.31%EV +5.19%E +0.571%K +0.641%G +0.033%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -18.88%E -3.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 13:45
NordicBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.64%EV -4.58%E -3.49%K -14.77%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.31%EV +5.19%E +0.571%K +0.641%G +0.033%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -18.88%E -3.63%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 13:45
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.22%E -6.52%K -31.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +4.04%E +0.449%K +0.505%G +0.020%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 13:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV +4.04%E +0.449%K +0.505%G +0.020%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 13:05
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.41%E -8.46%K -45.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.04%E +0.449%K +0.505%G +0.020%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -9.52%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.41%E -8.46%K -45.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.04%E +0.449%K +0.505%G +0.020%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -9.52%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 10:35
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.41%E -8.46%K -45.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.04%E +0.449%K +0.505%G +0.020%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -9.52%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 10:35
Grosvenor🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -10.41%E -8.46%K -45.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV +4.04%E +0.449%K +0.505%G +0.020%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -9.52%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 10:35
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.16%EV -9.68%E -7.80%K -40.32%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.51%EV +1.15%E +0.131%K +0.148%G +0.002%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 13:03
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.58%EV -5.31%E -4.08%K -17.69%G +0.000%8.55I 11.70%NM 11.19%EV -1.17%E -0.136%K -0.154%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.23%EV -2.04%E -0.324%K -0.385%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 13:10
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -1.74%E -0.205%K -0.232%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-28 10:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -1.74%E -0.205%K -0.232%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-28 13:05
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -11.13%E -9.13%K -50.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -1.74%E -0.205%K -0.232%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-28 13:04
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.02%EV -11.86%E -9.80%K -56.49%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -1.74%E -0.205%K -0.232%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -9.52%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-28 10:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -12.59%E -10.49%K -62.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -1.74%E -0.205%K -0.232%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -10.30%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-28 10:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -12.59%E -10.49%K -62.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -1.74%E -0.205%K -0.232%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -10.30%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-28 10:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -12.59%E -10.49%K -62.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -1.74%E -0.205%K -0.232%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -10.30%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-28 10:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.46%EV -7.49%E -5.90%K -27.75%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.24%EV -4.06%E -0.489%K -0.555%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV -4.84%E -0.794%K -0.950%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 11:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.49%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.20%EV -5.21%E -0.635%K -0.724%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 13:45
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.15%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.16%G +0.000%8.04I 12.44%NM 11.65%EV -7.06%E -0.878%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.20%EV -3.91%E -0.634%K -0.757%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 10:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 10:35
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 12:39
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 13:04
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -14.20%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-28 13:15
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 11:44
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.28%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 11:44
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -7.52%E -0.940%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -22.00%E -4.40%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-28 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.57%EV -7.49%E -5.90%K -27.75%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.82%EV -9.83%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.62%EV -7.96%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 12:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.57%EV -7.49%E -5.90%K -27.75%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.82%EV -9.83%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.62%EV -7.96%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 12:39
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -6.04%E -4.68%K -20.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -13.30%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -10.30%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-28 11:25
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -11.13%E -9.13%K -50.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -13.30%E -1.77%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -14.20%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-28 13:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.91%EV -7.49%E -5.90%K -27.75%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.34%EV -14.46%E -1.95%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -9.52%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-28 10:35
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.01%EV -7.49%E -5.90%K -27.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -19.08%E -2.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.10%EV -12.64%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-28 13:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.30%EV -9.68%E -7.80%K -40.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.63%EV -19.08%E -2.73%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.07%EV -14.20%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-28 10:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.33%EV -10.41%E -8.46%K -45.24%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.72%EV -20.24%E -2.93%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -14.20%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-28 10:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.60%EV -8.22%E -6.52%K -31.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.37%EV -21.97%E -3.26%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.40%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-28 10:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.20%EV -9.68%E -7.80%K -40.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -24.86%E -3.82%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.22%EV -9.52%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-28 10:35
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.44%EV -8.95%E -7.16%K -35.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV -24.86%E -3.82%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.01%EV -14.20%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-28 11:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 69.94%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.33%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.73%17.2%2026-08-28 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 43.68%8.80I 11.36%NM 6.06%1.06I 94.34%NM 50.27%87.7%2026-08-28 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 43.68%8.80I 11.36%NM 6.06%1.06I 94.34%NM 50.27%87.7%2026-08-28 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 42.62%8.80I 11.36%NM 5.91%1.01I 99.01%NM 51.48%92.3%2026-08-28 12:55