Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.10
assuming max odds 2.33
assuming max odds 4.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vålerenga (Local): 33.46%; Molde (Visit): 43.00%; Draw: 23.54%. For Vålerenga (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.72%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV +3.72%E +1.20%K +1.77%G +0.066% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 14:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.84%EV -1.30%E -0.440%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.04%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 23.12%EV -1.35%E -0.322%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.14%EV -6.27%E -2.87%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -9.35%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.14%EV -6.27%E -2.87%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -9.35%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.04%EV -4.31%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.34%EV -6.27%E -2.87%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.62%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.04%EV -4.31%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.34%EV -6.27%E -2.87%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.62%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.08%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.23%EV -1.11%E -0.482%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -3.47%E -0.846%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 07:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%EV -11.86%E -5.78%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 14:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -11.86%E -5.78%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.69%EV -7.32%E -2.64%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.82%EV -8.42%E -3.95%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -2.29%E -0.552%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.08%EV -7.65%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.99%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.93%EV -7.47%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -1.11%E -0.265%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 14:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 14:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 14:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 14:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.89%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.66%EV -8.85%E -4.17%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.62%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.77%EV -11.86%E -5.78%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-30 14:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.03%EV -8.66%E -3.17%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -11.71%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-30 14:57 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 14:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -6.70%E -3.09%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.71%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -6.70%E -3.09%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.71%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -11.71%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 14:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.23%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.77%EV -11.86%E -5.78%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.33%EV -11.33%E -4.28%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.92%EV -8.85%E -4.17%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -11.33%E -4.28%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.80%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -12.00%E -4.56%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV +0.182%E +0.078%K +0.137%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 17:16 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.37%EV -12.00%E -4.56%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.08%EV -12.00%E -4.56%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.69%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.08%EV -12.00%E -4.56%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.69%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.77%EV -12.00%E -4.56%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.90%EV -8.85%E -4.17%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -14.06%E -3.85%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.77%EV -12.00%E -4.56%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.90%EV -8.85%E -4.17%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -14.06%E -3.85%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.77%EV -12.00%E -4.56%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.90%EV -8.85%E -4.17%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -14.06%E -3.85%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -12.34%E -4.71%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.41%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-30 14:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.45%EV -12.34%E -4.71%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.17%EV -12.34%E -4.71%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.64%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.17%EV -12.34%E -4.71%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.64%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.32%EV -13.01%E -5.00%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.50%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.18%EV -9.35%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -13.01%E -5.00%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.37%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.41%EV -13.01%E -5.00%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -14.01%E -7.00%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -11.71%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.94%EV -19.70%E -8.21%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 43.00%EV -16.16%E -8.29%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.07%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.91% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.91% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.51% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.51% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.38% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.81% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.82% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 15:00 |