Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Vålerenga v Molde

Inizio: 2026-08-30 15:01 UTC

Finale: Vålerenga 3–4 Molde

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

55 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Vålerenga (Casa)

Previsione 33.46%2.99quota equa
EV +3.72%
Vantaggio +1.20%
Kelly +1.77%
Crescita +0.066%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.67%33.51%33.38%35.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.742.753.1041.67%36.55%36.36%32.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Molde (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.00%2.33quota equa
EV +0.182%
Vantaggio +0.078%
Kelly +0.137%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.39%43.01%43.04%45.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.152.152.3351.28%46.41%46.51%42.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.54%4.25quota equa
EV -1.11%
Vantaggio -0.265%
Kelly -0.348%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.07%23.48%23.58%24.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.653.893.904.2027.40%25.72%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Vålerenga (Casa): 33.46%; Molde (Trasferta): 43.00%; Pareggio: 23.54%. Per Vålerenga (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.99. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.10, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.72%.

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV +3.72%E +1.20%K +1.77%G +0.066%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 14:59
Pinnacle🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.84%EV -1.30%E -0.440%K -0.665%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.04%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.12%EV -1.35%E -0.322%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.14%EV -6.27%E -2.87%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -9.35%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 14:20
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.14%EV -6.27%E -2.87%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -9.35%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.04%EV -4.31%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.34%EV -6.27%E -2.87%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.62%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.04%EV -4.31%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.34%EV -6.27%E -2.87%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.62%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 14:55
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.08%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.23%EV -1.11%E -0.482%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -3.47%E -0.846%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 07:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%EV -11.86%E -5.78%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 14:05
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 14:55
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:30
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -11.86%E -5.78%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 15:00
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.69%EV -7.32%E -2.64%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.82%EV -8.42%E -3.95%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -2.29%E -0.552%K -0.727%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:55
GTbets🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.08%EV -7.65%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.99%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.93%EV -7.47%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 17:25
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -1.11%E -0.265%K -0.348%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 14:59
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:30
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:30
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:30
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 14:04
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 14:55
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 14:59
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.89%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.66%EV -8.85%E -4.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.62%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.77%EV -11.86%E -5.78%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 14:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 33.03%EV -8.66%E -3.17%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -11.71%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 14:57
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 14:59
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -6.70%E -3.09%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.71%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 14:55
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -6.70%E -3.09%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.71%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 14:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -11.71%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.23%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.77%EV -11.86%E -5.78%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 15:00
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.33%EV -11.33%E -4.28%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.92%EV -8.85%E -4.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 15:00
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -11.33%E -4.28%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.80%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 14:55
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -12.00%E -4.56%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV +0.182%E +0.078%K +0.137%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 17:16
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.37%EV -12.00%E -4.56%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 14:45
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.08%EV -12.00%E -4.56%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.69%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.08%EV -12.00%E -4.56%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.69%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.77%EV -12.00%E -4.56%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.90%EV -8.85%E -4.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -14.06%E -3.85%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.77%EV -12.00%E -4.56%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.90%EV -8.85%E -4.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -14.06%E -3.85%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.77%EV -12.00%E -4.56%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.90%EV -8.85%E -4.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -14.06%E -3.85%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 14:55
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -12.34%E -4.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.41%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 14:59
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.45%EV -12.34%E -4.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 14:25
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.17%EV -12.34%E -4.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.64%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.17%EV -12.34%E -4.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.64%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 14:05
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.32%EV -13.01%E -5.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.50%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.18%EV -9.35%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 15:00
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -13.01%E -5.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.37%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.41%EV -13.01%E -5.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -14.01%E -7.00%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -11.71%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-30 15:00
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 34.94%EV -19.70%E -8.21%K -14.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.00%EV -16.16%E -8.29%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.07%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%19.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.91%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.91%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.51%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-08-30 15:00
Matchbook◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.51%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-08-30 15:00
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.38%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.82%1.9%2026-08-30 15:00