Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Vålerenga v Molde

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 15:01 UTC

Score final : Vålerenga 3–4 Molde

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Vålerenga (Local)

Prévision 33.46%2.99cote équitable
EV +3.72%
Avantage +1.20%
Kelly +1.77%
Croissance +0.066%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.67%33.51%33.38%35.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.742.753.1041.67%36.55%36.36%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Molde (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.00%2.33cote équitable
EV +0.182%
Avantage +0.078%
Kelly +0.137%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.39%43.01%43.04%45.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.152.152.3351.28%46.41%46.51%42.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.54%4.25cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.265%
Kelly -0.348%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.07%23.48%23.58%24.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.653.893.904.2027.40%25.72%25.64%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Vålerenga (Local) : 33.46% ; Molde (Visiteur) : 43.00% ; Match nul : 23.54%. Pour Vålerenga (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.99. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.10, soit une espérance positive de +3.72%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV +3.72%E +1.20%K +1.77%G +0.066%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 14:59
Pinnacle🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.84%EV -1.30%E -0.440%K -0.665%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.04%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.12%EV -1.35%E -0.322%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.14%EV -6.27%E -2.87%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -9.35%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 14:20
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.14%EV -6.27%E -2.87%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -9.35%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 14:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.04%EV -4.31%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.34%EV -6.27%E -2.87%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.62%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.04%EV -4.31%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.34%EV -6.27%E -2.87%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.62%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 14:55
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.08%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.23%EV -1.11%E -0.482%K -0.852%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -3.47%E -0.846%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 07:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%EV -11.86%E -5.78%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 14:05
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 14:55
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -4.12%E -1.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:30
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -11.86%E -5.78%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 15:00
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.69%EV -7.32%E -2.64%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.82%EV -8.42%E -3.95%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -2.29%E -0.552%K -0.727%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:55
GTbets🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.08%EV -7.65%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.99%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.93%EV -7.47%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 17:25
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -1.11%E -0.265%K -0.348%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 14:59
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:30
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:30
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:30
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 14:04
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 14:55
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 14:59
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.89%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.66%EV -8.85%E -4.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.62%EV -7.99%E -2.90%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.77%EV -11.86%E -5.78%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 14:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 33.03%EV -8.66%E -3.17%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -11.71%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 14:57
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 14:59
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.04%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -5.41%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -6.70%E -3.09%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.71%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 14:55
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -6.70%E -3.09%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -11.71%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 14:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -11.71%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.23%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.77%EV -11.86%E -5.78%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 15:00
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.33%EV -11.33%E -4.28%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.92%EV -8.85%E -4.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 15:00
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -11.33%E -4.28%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.80%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 14:55
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.78%EV -12.00%E -4.56%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV +0.182%E +0.078%K +0.137%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.00%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 17:16
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.37%EV -12.00%E -4.56%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 14:45
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.08%EV -12.00%E -4.56%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.69%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.08%EV -12.00%E -4.56%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.69%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.77%EV -12.00%E -4.56%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.90%EV -8.85%E -4.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -14.06%E -3.85%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.77%EV -12.00%E -4.56%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.90%EV -8.85%E -4.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -14.06%E -3.85%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.77%EV -12.00%E -4.56%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.90%EV -8.85%E -4.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.33%EV -14.06%E -3.85%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 14:55
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -12.34%E -4.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.41%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 14:59
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.45%EV -12.34%E -4.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -5.82%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 14:25
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.17%EV -12.34%E -4.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.64%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.17%EV -12.34%E -4.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.64%EV -7.56%E -3.52%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 14:05
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.32%EV -13.01%E -5.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.50%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.18%EV -9.35%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 15:00
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -13.01%E -5.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.37%EV -9.71%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.41%EV -13.01%E -5.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -14.01%E -7.00%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -11.71%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-30 15:00
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 34.94%EV -19.70%E -8.21%K -14.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.00%EV -16.16%E -8.29%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.07%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%19.3%2026-08-30 15:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.91%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.91%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.8%2026-08-30 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.51%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-08-30 15:00
Matchbook◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.51%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-08-30 15:00
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.38%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.81%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.82%1.9%2026-08-30 15:00