Language:English
Vålerenga v Lillestrom
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vålerenga (Local)
Prediction 37.84%2.64fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.475%
Kelly -0.771%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.68%37.84%37.80%40.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.392.402.6145.45%41.89%41.67%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lillestrom (Visit)
Prediction 36.35%2.75fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.682%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.94%36.58%36.35%39.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.562.582.7044.44%39.11%38.76%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.81%3.87fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.509%
Kelly -0.691%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.28%25.58%25.85%27.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.553.553.8032.26%28.13%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vålerenga (Local): 37.84%; Lillestrom (Visit): 36.35%; Draw: 25.81%. For Vålerenga (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.61, with an expected value of -1.24%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.20%EV -1.24%E -0.475%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91%EV -4.39%E -1.67%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -3.23%E -0.860%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -1.62%E -0.623%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -1.94%E -0.509%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.81%EV -2.38%E -0.921%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.81%EV -6.20%E -2.41%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.69%EV -2.75%E -1.07%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.55%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.76%EV -2.97%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -3.89%E -1.53%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -3.89%E -1.53%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.65%EV -4.65%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -4.75%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.14%EV -6.32%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -6.16%E -2.48%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.20%E -2.41%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.90%EV -6.92%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.28%EV -6.57%E -2.56%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.83%EV -6.84%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 12:28 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -5.81%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -5.81%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -7.30%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -3.23%E -0.860%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.30%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.30%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 12:28 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02%EV -18.20%E -8.09%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -3.23%E -0.860%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.68%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.39%EV -20.00%E -6.45%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -10.32%E -4.36%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -10.32%E -4.36%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -12.97%E -5.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:22 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.96%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.96%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -14.86%E -6.61%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90%EV -14.86%E -6.61%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -16.75%E -7.62%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.11% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 0.9% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.31% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.34% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.98% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.04% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98% | 1.3% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.22% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.59% | 1.5% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.47% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65% | 4.0% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |