La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Vålerenga v Lillestrom
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Vålerenga (Local)
Predicción 37.84%2.64momio equitativo
EV -1.24%
Ventaja -0.475%
Kelly -0.771%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.68%37.84%37.80%40.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.392.402.6145.45%41.89%41.67%38.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lillestrom (Visitante)
Predicción 36.35%2.75momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -0.682%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.94%36.58%36.35%39.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.562.582.7044.44%39.11%38.76%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.81%3.87momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -0.509%
Kelly -0.691%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.28%25.58%25.85%27.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.553.553.8032.26%28.13%28.17%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.20%EV -1.24%E -0.475%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91%EV -4.39%E -1.67%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -3.23%E -0.860%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -1.62%E -0.623%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -1.94%E -0.509%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| BetAnything | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.81%EV -2.38%E -0.921%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.81%EV -6.20%E -2.41%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.69%EV -2.75%E -1.07%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.55%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.76%EV -2.97%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -3.89%E -1.53%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -3.89%E -1.53%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.65%EV -4.65%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -4.75%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.14%EV -6.32%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -6.16%E -2.48%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.20%E -2.41%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| GTbets | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.90%EV -6.92%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.28%EV -6.57%E -2.56%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.83%EV -6.84%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 12:28 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -5.81%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -5.81%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| Everygame | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -7.30%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -3.23%E -0.860%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.30%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| BetUS | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.30%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-19 12:28 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02%EV -18.20%E -8.09%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -3.23%E -0.860%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.68%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.39%EV -20.00%E -6.45%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -10.32%E -4.36%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -10.32%E -4.36%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -12.97%E -5.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:22 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.96%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.96%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -14.86%E -6.61%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90%EV -14.86%E -6.61%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-19 12:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -16.75%E -7.62%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.11% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 0.9% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.31% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.34% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.98% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.04% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98% | 1.3% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.22% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.59% | 1.5% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.47% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65% | 4.0% | 2026-04-19 12:30 |