La scuola delle quote

Vålerenga v Lillestrom

Inizio: 2026-04-19 12:32 UTC

Finale: Vålerenga 0–2 Lillestrom

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Vålerenga (Casa)

Previsione 37.84%2.64quota equa
EV -1.24%
Vantaggio -0.475%
Kelly -0.771%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.68%37.84%37.80%40.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.392.402.6145.45%41.89%41.67%38.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lillestrom (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.35%2.75quota equa
EV -1.84%
Vantaggio -0.682%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.94%36.58%36.35%39.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.562.582.7044.44%39.11%38.76%37.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.81%3.87quota equa
EV -1.94%
Vantaggio -0.509%
Kelly -0.691%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.28%25.58%25.85%27.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.553.553.8032.26%28.13%28.17%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.61I 38.31%NM 37.20%EV -1.24%E -0.475%K -0.771%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91%EV -4.39%E -1.67%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -3.23%E -0.860%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-19 12:29
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -1.62%E -0.623%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -1.94%E -0.509%K -0.691%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 12:30
BetAnything2.58I 38.76%NM 36.81%EV -2.38%E -0.921%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.81%EV -6.20%E -2.41%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 12:29
Pinnacle2.57I 38.91%NM 37.69%EV -2.75%E -1.07%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.55%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.76%EV -2.97%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-19 12:29
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -3.89%E -1.53%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 12:30
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -3.89%E -1.53%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 12:30
1xBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.65%EV -4.65%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -4.75%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.14%EV -6.32%E -1.74%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 12:29
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -6.16%E -2.48%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.20%E -2.41%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:29
GTbets2.46I 40.65%NM 37.90%EV -6.92%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.28%EV -6.57%E -2.56%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.83%EV -6.84%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:28
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -5.81%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 12:30
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -5.81%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 12:30
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 12:29
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 12:30
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 12:29
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 12:29
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -7.29%E -2.98%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 12:30
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -7.30%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -3.23%E -0.860%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 12:29
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 12:30
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -4.52%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 12:29
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.30%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:30
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.30%E -2.86%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:29
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 12:28
Codere (IT)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 12:30
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 12:30
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 12:30
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 12:30
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 12:30
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 12:30
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -9.19%E -3.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02%EV -18.20%E -8.09%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -7.10%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 12:30
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -3.23%E -0.860%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 12:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 12:29
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 12:29
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 35.68%EV -9.94%E -4.18%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.39%EV -20.00%E -6.45%K -9.52%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-19 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -10.32%E -4.36%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 12:30
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -10.32%E -4.36%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.11%E -3.65%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 12:30
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -12.97%E -5.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-19 12:29
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:30
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:22
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:30
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:30
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:30
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:30
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:30
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:30
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:30
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:30
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -1.84%E -0.682%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:30
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.96%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 12:30
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.96%EV -13.73%E -6.02%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -8.39%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 12:30
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -14.86%E -6.61%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.07%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 12:30
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.90%EV -14.86%E -6.61%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.37%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-19 12:29
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -16.75%E -7.62%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -5.48%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -12.26%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-19 12:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.11%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-04-19 12:30
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.31%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.2%2026-04-19 12:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.98%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98%1.3%2026-04-19 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.22%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.59%1.5%2026-04-19 12:30
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 38.47%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%4.0%2026-04-19 12:30