Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.05
assuming max odds 3.61
assuming max odds 3.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vålerenga (Local): 47.13%; KFUM (Visit): 27.31%; Draw: 25.56%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.950%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.50%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -1.67%E -0.465%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%EV +0.950%E +0.241%K +0.322%G +0.003% | 3.1% | 2026-05-03 13:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.43%EV -3.86%E -1.89%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.10%EV -2.49%E -0.698%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -2.88%E -0.759%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-03 17:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-03 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -4.80%E -2.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -4.80%E -2.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -12.81%E -6.92%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -1.67%E -0.465%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 16:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.21%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.18%EV -1.40%E -0.388%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.61%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 20:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.34%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.04%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.24%EV -9.51%E -4.95%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 16:56 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.67%E -0.465%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 17:06 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.68%E -3.38%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-03 16:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.60%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 16:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.85%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 16:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 16:26 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 16:26 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 17:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 17:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 17:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 17:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-03 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 16:26 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-03 16:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 17:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.98%E -5.23%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.98%E -5.23%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.98%E -5.23%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.98%E -5.23%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.98%E -5.23%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-03 16:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.33%E -4.94%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.86%EV -11.40%E -6.06%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -13.96%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-03 16:56 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.20%EV -14.22%E -7.82%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.74%EV -10.41%E -3.17%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-03 16:52 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -15.33%E -4.94%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -9.51%E -4.95%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-03 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.50%EV -12.81%E -6.92%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -13.11%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 17:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.98%E -5.23%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.11%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.05%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -13.11%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-03 16:26 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.89% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.71% | 2.4% | 2026-05-03 17:05 |