默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vålerenga v KFUM

开赛时间: 2026-05-03 17:15 UTC

最终结果: Vålerenga 2–2 KFUM

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Vålerenga (主队)

预测 47.13%2.12公平赔率
EV -3.38%
优势 -1.65%
Kelly -3.22%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.05

博彩公司预测分布
45.57%47.22%47.12%49.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.821.951.952.0554.95%51.27%51.28%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

KFUM (客队)

预测 27.31%3.66公平赔率
EV -1.40%
优势 -0.388%
Kelly -0.536%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.61

博彩公司预测分布
25.52%27.28%27.19%28.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.363.403.6132.26%29.73%29.41%27.70%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.56%3.91公平赔率
EV +0.950%
优势 +0.241%
Kelly +0.322%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 3.95

博彩公司预测分布
24.56%25.50%25.68%26.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.573.553.9529.41%28.04%28.17%25.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Vålerenga (主队):47.13%;KFUM (客队):27.31%;平局:25.56%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.91。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.95,对应+0.950%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.50%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -1.67%E -0.465%K -0.643%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%EV +0.950%E +0.241%K +0.322%G +0.003%3.1%2026-05-03 13:25
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.43%EV -3.86%E -1.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.10%EV -2.49%E -0.698%K -0.970%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -2.88%E -0.759%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 17:01
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:05
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -4.80%E -2.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 16:50
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -4.80%E -2.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -12.81%E -6.92%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -1.67%E -0.465%K -0.643%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 16:40
GTbets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.21%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.18%EV -1.40%E -0.388%K -0.536%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.61%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 20:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.34%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.04%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.24%EV -9.51%E -4.95%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 16:56
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.67%E -0.465%K -0.643%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:06
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.68%E -3.38%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:55
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 16:50
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:15
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.60%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 16:59
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 16:50
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.85%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 16:31
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:26
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:26
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:30
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:30
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 17:05
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 17:05
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 17:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 17:05
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 16:26
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 16:30
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 17:01
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.98%E -5.23%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.98%E -5.23%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 16:10
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.98%E -5.23%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.98%E -5.23%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 16:10
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.98%E -5.23%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 16:10
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.33%E -4.94%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.86%EV -11.40%E -6.06%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -13.96%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-03 16:56
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.20%EV -14.22%E -7.82%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.74%EV -10.41%E -3.17%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-03 16:52
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -15.33%E -4.94%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-03 16:50
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -9.51%E -4.95%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 16:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.50%EV -12.81%E -6.92%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 16:55
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -13.11%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 17:00
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.98%E -5.23%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.11%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.05%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -13.11%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 16:26
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-03 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-03 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-03 17:10
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-03 17:10
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.71%2.4%2026-05-03 17:05