مدرسة الاحتمالات

Vålerenga v KFUM

البداية: 2026-05-03 17:15 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Vålerenga 2–2 KFUM

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Vålerenga (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.13%2.12السعر العادل
EV -3.38%
الأفضلية -1.65%
Kelly -3.22%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.57%47.22%47.12%49.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.821.951.952.0554.95%51.27%51.28%48.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

KFUM (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.31%3.66السعر العادل
EV -1.40%
الأفضلية -0.388%
Kelly -0.536%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.52%27.28%27.19%28.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.363.403.6132.26%29.73%29.41%27.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.56%3.91السعر العادل
EV +0.950%
الأفضلية +0.241%
Kelly +0.322%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.56%25.50%25.68%26.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.573.553.9529.41%28.04%28.17%25.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.50%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -1.67%E -0.465%K -0.643%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%EV +0.950%E +0.241%K +0.322%G +0.003%3.1%2026-05-03 13:25
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.43%EV -3.86%E -1.89%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.10%EV -2.49%E -0.698%K -0.970%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -2.88%E -0.759%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 17:01
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -3.38%E -1.65%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 17:05
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -4.80%E -2.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 16:50
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -4.80%E -2.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 16:50
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -12.81%E -6.92%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -1.67%E -0.465%K -0.643%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -5.44%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 16:40
GTbets1.96I 51.02%NM 48.21%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.18%EV -1.40%E -0.388%K -0.536%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.61%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 20:20
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:10
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 17:10
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.34%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.04%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 17:10
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.24%EV -9.51%E -4.95%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -6.72%E -1.84%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 16:56
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.67%E -0.465%K -0.643%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 17:06
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.68%E -3.38%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:55
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 16:50
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-03 16:15
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.60%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 16:59
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.99%E -2.22%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 16:50
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.85%EV -7.15%E -3.63%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 16:31
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:30
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:26
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:26
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:30
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:30
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:30
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:30
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 46.98%EV -7.63%E -3.89%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:30
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 17:05
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 17:05
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 46.92%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 17:05
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -9.27%E -2.61%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 16:55
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 17:05
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 16:26
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -8.57%E -4.42%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 16:30
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 17:01
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.98%E -5.23%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 16:55
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.98%E -5.23%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 16:10
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.98%E -5.23%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.98%E -5.23%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 16:10
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.98%E -5.23%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 16:10
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.10%E -4.15%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -15.33%E -4.94%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.86%EV -11.40%E -6.06%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -13.96%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-03 16:56
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.20%EV -14.22%E -7.82%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.74%EV -10.41%E -3.17%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-03 16:52
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 46.78%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -15.33%E -4.94%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -10.55%E -3.01%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-03 16:50
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -9.51%E -4.95%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.50%EV -12.81%E -6.92%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -11.83%E -3.43%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 16:55
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.74%E -2.87%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -13.11%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 17:00
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -9.98%E -5.23%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.11%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 16:55
PMU (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.05%EV -11.87%E -6.35%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -13.11%E -3.85%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 16:26
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-03 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-03 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-03 17:10
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-03 17:10
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.71%2.4%2026-05-03 17:05