Language:English
Vålerenga v Fredrikstad FK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vålerenga (Local)
Prediction 49.63%2.01fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -2.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.70%49.69%49.69%52.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.861.881.9757.47%53.66%53.33%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fredrikstad FK (Visit)
Prediction 26.50%3.77fair odd
EV -0.638%
Edge -0.170%
Kelly -0.232%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.90%26.42%26.47%27.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.483.503.7531.25%28.75%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.87%4.19fair odd
EV -0.215%
Edge -0.051%
Kelly -0.068%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.04%23.90%23.84%25.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.793.754.1828.17%26.41%26.67%23.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vålerenga (Local): 49.63%; Fredrikstad FK (Visit): 26.50%; Draw: 23.87%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.18, with an expected value of -0.215%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.70%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.66%EV -9.05%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 03:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.03%EV -3.72%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.59%EV -3.29%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.39%EV -0.931%E -0.224%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-20 12:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-20 12:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.89%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.54%EV -0.638%E -0.170%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.90%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-20 12:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-20 12:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-20 12:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-20 12:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-20 12:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 12:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.98%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -8.09%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 12:28 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.88%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.99%EV -1.43%E -0.385%K -0.527%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.13%EV -0.215%E -0.051%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 12:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.90%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-20 12:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 12:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 11:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 11:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 11:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.29%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 11:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.35%EV -0.638%E -0.170%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -5.71%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 12:28 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -3.29%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.09%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 12:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.90%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 12:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 12:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -11.24%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -9.29%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.12%EV -5.67%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -8.09%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 12:03 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.46%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.24%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.67%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 12:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.29%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-20 12:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 12:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.59%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.59%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.89%E -4.27%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-20 12:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.89%E -4.27%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-20 12:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.89%E -4.27%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-20 12:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.89%E -4.27%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-20 12:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.68%EV -8.68%E -4.72%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -6.90%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 12:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.59%EV -8.68%E -4.72%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-20 12:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.46%EV -8.68%E -4.72%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -13.89%E -4.27%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -11.67%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-20 12:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -9.17%E -5.01%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -1.96%E -0.530%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.90%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 12:08 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -9.17%E -5.01%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.29%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-20 12:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -9.17%E -5.01%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.29%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-20 12:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.17%E -5.01%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -8.59%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -15.25%E -4.30%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -10.17%E -5.62%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -15.25%E -4.30%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -10.17%E -5.62%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -15.25%E -4.30%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -10.17%E -5.62%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -15.25%E -4.30%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -10.66%E -5.92%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.67%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-20 12:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.73%EV -10.66%E -5.92%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -11.24%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.29%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 12:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -10.66%E -5.92%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-20 12:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.83%EV -11.16%E -6.23%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.39%EV -10.44%E -3.09%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-20 12:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -12.15%E -6.87%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -1.96%E -0.530%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 12:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.66%EV -13.15%E -7.51%K -17.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -15.21%E -4.75%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-20 12:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.45%EV -13.64%E -7.84%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -11.67%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-20 12:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-09-20 12:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-09-20 12:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-09-20 12:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-09-20 12:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.00% | 1.6% | 2026-09-20 12:05 |