L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Vålerenga v Fredrikstad FK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 12:30 UTC

Score final : Vålerenga 1–1 Fredrikstad FK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Vålerenga (Local)

Prévision 49.63%2.01cote équitable
EV -2.23%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -2.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.70%49.69%49.69%52.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.741.861.881.9757.47%53.66%53.33%50.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Fredrikstad FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.50%3.77cote équitable
EV -0.638%
Avantage -0.170%
Kelly -0.232%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.90%26.42%26.47%27.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.483.503.7531.25%28.75%28.57%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.87%4.19cote équitable
EV -0.215%
Avantage -0.051%
Kelly -0.068%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.04%23.90%23.84%25.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.553.793.754.1828.17%26.41%26.67%23.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Vålerenga (Local) : 49.63% ; Fredrikstad FK (Visiteur) : 26.50% ; Match nul : 23.87%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.19. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.18, pour une espérance de -0.215% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.70%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.66%EV -9.05%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 03:19
Coolbet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.03%EV -3.72%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.59%EV -3.29%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.39%EV -0.931%E -0.224%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-20 12:20
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 12:05
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.89%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.54%EV -0.638%E -0.170%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.90%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 12:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 12:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 12:04
BetUS🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 12:09
BetAnything🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 12:04
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 12:04
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.98%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -8.09%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 12:28
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.88%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.99%EV -1.43%E -0.385%K -0.527%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.13%EV -0.215%E -0.051%K -0.068%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-20 12:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.90%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 12:10
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 12:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 11:04
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 11:04
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 11:05
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 11:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 11:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 11:04
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.29%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 11:19
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.35%EV -0.638%E -0.170%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -5.71%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 12:28
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -3.29%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.09%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 12:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.90%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 12:29
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 12:04
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -11.24%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -9.29%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.12%EV -5.67%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -8.09%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 12:03
Codere (IT)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.46%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.24%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.67%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 12:09
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.29%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 12:05
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 12:24
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.59%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 11:04
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.59%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 11:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.89%E -4.27%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 12:04
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.89%E -4.27%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 12:04
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.89%E -4.27%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 12:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.89%E -4.27%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 12:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.68%EV -8.68%E -4.72%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -6.90%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 12:29
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.59%EV -8.68%E -4.72%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 12:09
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.46%EV -8.68%E -4.72%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -13.89%E -4.27%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -11.67%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 12:10
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -9.17%E -5.01%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -1.96%E -0.530%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.90%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 12:08
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -9.17%E -5.01%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.29%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 12:28
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -9.17%E -5.01%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.29%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 12:29
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.17%E -5.01%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -8.59%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -15.25%E -4.30%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 11:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -10.17%E -5.62%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -15.25%E -4.30%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 11:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -10.17%E -5.62%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -15.25%E -4.30%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 11:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -10.17%E -5.62%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -15.25%E -4.30%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 11:04
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -10.66%E -5.92%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.67%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 12:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.73%EV -10.66%E -5.92%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -11.24%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.29%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 12:29
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -10.66%E -5.92%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 12:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.83%EV -11.16%E -6.23%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.39%EV -10.44%E -3.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 12:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -12.15%E -6.87%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -1.96%E -0.530%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 12:29
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.66%EV -13.15%E -7.51%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -15.21%E -4.75%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-20 12:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.45%EV -13.64%E -7.84%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -11.67%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 12:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-09-20 12:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-09-20 12:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-09-20 12:24
Matchbook◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-09-20 12:24
Smarkets◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.00%1.6%2026-09-20 12:05