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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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Vålerenga v Fredrikstad FK

Inizio: 2026-09-20 12:30 UTC

Finale: Vålerenga 1–1 Fredrikstad FK

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

54 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Vålerenga (Casa)

Previsione 49.63%2.01quota equa
EV -2.23%
Vantaggio -1.13%
Kelly -2.30%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.97

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.70%49.69%49.69%52.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.741.861.881.9757.47%53.66%53.33%50.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Fredrikstad FK (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.50%3.77quota equa
EV -0.638%
Vantaggio -0.170%
Kelly -0.232%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.90%26.42%26.47%27.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.483.503.7531.25%28.75%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.87%4.19quota equa
EV -0.215%
Vantaggio -0.051%
Kelly -0.068%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.04%23.90%23.84%25.20%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.553.793.754.1828.17%26.41%26.67%23.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Vålerenga (Casa): 49.63%; Fredrikstad FK (Trasferta): 26.50%; Pareggio: 23.87%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.19. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 4.18, con un valore atteso del -0.215%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.70%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.66%EV -9.05%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 03:19
Coolbet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.03%EV -3.72%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.59%EV -3.29%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.39%EV -0.931%E -0.224%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-20 12:20
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 12:05
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.89%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.54%EV -0.638%E -0.170%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.90%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 12:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 12:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 12:04
BetUS🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 12:09
BetAnything🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -4.71%E -2.45%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 12:04
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 12:04
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.98%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -8.09%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 12:28
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.88%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.99%EV -1.43%E -0.385%K -0.527%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.13%EV -0.215%E -0.051%K -0.068%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-20 12:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.88%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.90%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 12:10
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 12:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 11:04
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 11:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 11:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 11:04
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 11:05
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 11:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 11:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 11:04
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -6.20%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.29%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 11:19
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.35%EV -0.638%E -0.170%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -5.71%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 12:28
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.92%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -3.29%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.09%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 12:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.90%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 12:29
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 12:04
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.64%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -11.24%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -9.29%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.12%EV -5.67%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -8.09%E -2.10%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 12:03
Codere (IT)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.46%EV -7.19%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.24%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.67%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 12:09
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.29%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 12:05
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 12:24
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.59%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 11:04
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.59%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 11:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.89%E -4.27%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 12:04
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.89%E -4.27%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 12:04
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.89%E -4.27%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 12:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.89%E -4.27%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 12:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.68%EV -8.68%E -4.72%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%EV -6.90%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 12:29
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.59%EV -8.68%E -4.72%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 12:09
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.46%EV -8.68%E -4.72%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -13.89%E -4.27%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -11.67%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 12:10
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -9.17%E -5.01%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -1.96%E -0.530%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.90%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 12:08
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -9.17%E -5.01%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.29%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 12:28
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -9.17%E -5.01%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.29%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 12:29
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.17%E -5.01%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -8.59%E -2.49%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.20%EV -15.25%E -4.30%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 11:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -10.17%E -5.62%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -15.25%E -4.30%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 11:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -10.17%E -5.62%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -15.25%E -4.30%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 11:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.97%EV -10.17%E -5.62%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -15.25%E -4.30%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 11:04
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -10.66%E -5.92%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -7.26%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.67%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 12:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.73%EV -10.66%E -5.92%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -11.24%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.29%E -2.44%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 12:29
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -10.66%E -5.92%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -14.06%E -3.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 12:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.83%EV -11.16%E -6.23%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.39%EV -10.44%E -3.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 12:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -12.15%E -6.87%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -1.96%E -0.530%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -4.51%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 12:29
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.66%EV -13.15%E -7.51%K -17.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -15.21%E -4.75%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -10.48%E -2.79%K -3.81%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-20 12:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.45%EV -13.64%E -7.84%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -9.91%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -11.67%E -3.15%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 12:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-09-20 12:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-09-20 12:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-09-20 12:24
Matchbook◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-09-20 12:24
Smarkets◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.00%1.6%2026-09-20 12:05