Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tromso v Sarpsborg FK

Kickoff: 2026-08-30 15:00 UTC

Final: Tromso 0–0 Sarpsborg FK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tromso (Local)

Prediction 52.93%1.89fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -2.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.29%52.99%52.97%55.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.731.731.8561.35%57.72%57.80%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sarpsborg FK (Visit)

Prediction 22.55%4.43fair odd
EV +7.35%
Edge +1.54%
Kelly +1.95%
Growth +0.144%

assuming max odds 4.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.00%22.50%22.55%23.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.124.104.7626.67%24.29%24.39%21.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.52%4.08fair odd
EV -0.687%
Edge -0.170%
Kelly -0.225%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.03%24.51%24.49%26.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.763.804.0528.57%26.56%26.32%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tromso (Local): 52.93%; Sarpsborg FK (Visit): 22.55%; Draw: 24.52%. For Sarpsborg FK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.43. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.02%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV +7.35%E +1.54%K +1.95%G +0.144%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.98%EV -6.57%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 14:55
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.90%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.76%EV +0.359%E +0.081%K +0.104%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.34%EV -6.33%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 14:55
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.48%EV -2.09%E -1.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.97%EV -0.318%E -0.072%K -0.093%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -1.90%E -0.436%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 14:49
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -1.90%E -0.436%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 14:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -9.50%E -5.55%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -1.90%E -0.436%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -9.50%E -5.55%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -1.90%E -0.436%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:25
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -9.50%E -5.55%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -1.90%E -0.436%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -9.50%E -5.55%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -1.90%E -0.436%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -9.50%E -5.55%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -1.90%E -0.436%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -9.50%E -5.55%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -1.90%E -0.436%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -9.50%E -5.55%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -1.90%E -0.436%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:25
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -9.50%E -5.55%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -1.90%E -0.436%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:25
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.92%EV -7.91%E -4.55%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.02%EV -3.93%E -0.922%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 13:50
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.26%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.26%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 14:55
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.26%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 13:55
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 14:55
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 14:45
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -7.91%E -4.55%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 14:43
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.58%EV -12.14%E -7.32%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 14:25
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.58%EV -12.14%E -7.32%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 14:25
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.53%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.22%EV -8.97%E -5.21%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.53%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -0.687%E -0.170%K -0.225%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 14:55
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -7.91%E -4.55%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -7.53%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 13:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.53%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 14:30
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.43%EV -13.20%E -8.05%K -20.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -7.53%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.40%EV -13.73%E -8.42%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -7.53%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -9.27%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.40%EV -13.73%E -8.42%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -7.53%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -9.27%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 13:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.40%EV -13.73%E -8.42%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -7.53%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -9.27%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 13:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 13:45
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 13:25
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 14:55
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 14:54
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 14:55
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 13:45
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -7.91%E -4.55%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.27%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 14:40
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 14:55
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.80%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -12.95%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 14:45
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -11.61%E -6.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.27%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.02%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -10.92%E -2.76%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -10.50%E -2.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 13:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -7.91%E -4.55%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.15%EV -8.97%E -5.21%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -14.30%E -3.76%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -9.27%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 13:55
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.30%E -3.76%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.30%E -3.76%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.30%E -3.76%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 13:20
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.30%E -3.76%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 13:20
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -14.30%E -3.76%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.17%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 14:40
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.13%EV -9.50%E -5.55%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -15.43%E -4.11%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -9.27%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 13:45
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.02%EV -11.61%E -6.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -15.43%E -4.11%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -14.17%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-30 13:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.83%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 53.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-08-30 14:55
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%2.4%2026-08-30 14:55