Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tromso v Sarpsborg FK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 15:00 UTC

Score final : Tromso 0–0 Sarpsborg FK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tromso (Local)

Prévision 52.93%1.89cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -2.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.29%52.99%52.97%55.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.631.731.731.8561.35%57.72%57.80%54.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sarpsborg FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.55%4.43cote équitable
EV +7.35%
Avantage +1.54%
Kelly +1.95%
Croissance +0.144%

avec la cote maximale 4.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.00%22.50%22.55%23.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.124.104.7626.67%24.29%24.39%21.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.52%4.08cote équitable
EV -0.687%
Avantage -0.170%
Kelly -0.225%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.03%24.51%24.49%26.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.763.804.0528.57%26.56%26.32%24.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Tromso (Local) : 52.93% ; Sarpsborg FK (Visiteur) : 22.55% ; Match nul : 24.52%. Pour Sarpsborg FK (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.43. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.76, soit une espérance positive de +7.35%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.02%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.00%EV +7.35%E +1.54%K +1.95%G +0.144%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.98%EV -6.57%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 14:55
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.90%EV -3.15%E -1.72%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.76%EV +0.359%E +0.081%K +0.104%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.34%EV -6.33%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 14:55
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.48%EV -2.09%E -1.13%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.97%EV -0.318%E -0.072%K -0.093%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -1.90%E -0.436%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 14:49
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -1.90%E -0.436%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 14:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -9.50%E -5.55%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -1.90%E -0.436%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -9.50%E -5.55%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -1.90%E -0.436%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:25
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -9.50%E -5.55%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -1.90%E -0.436%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -9.50%E -5.55%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -1.90%E -0.436%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -9.50%E -5.55%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -1.90%E -0.436%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -9.50%E -5.55%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -1.90%E -0.436%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -9.50%E -5.55%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -1.90%E -0.436%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:25
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -9.50%E -5.55%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -1.90%E -0.436%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -3.14%E -0.795%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:25
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.92%EV -7.91%E -4.55%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.02%EV -3.93%E -0.922%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 13:50
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.26%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.26%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 14:55
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.26%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 13:55
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 14:55
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 14:45
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -7.91%E -4.55%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 14:43
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.58%EV -12.14%E -7.32%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 14:25
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.58%EV -12.14%E -7.32%K -18.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 14:25
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.53%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.22%EV -8.97%E -5.21%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.53%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -0.687%E -0.170%K -0.225%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 14:55
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -7.91%E -4.55%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -7.53%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 13:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -10.03%E -5.90%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.53%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 14:30
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.43%EV -13.20%E -8.05%K -20.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -7.53%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.40%EV -13.73%E -8.42%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -7.53%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -9.27%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.40%EV -13.73%E -8.42%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -7.53%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -9.27%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 13:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.40%EV -13.73%E -8.42%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -7.53%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -9.27%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 13:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 13:45
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.32%E -3.57%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 13:25
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 14:55
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 14:54
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 14:55
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.04%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 13:45
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -7.91%E -4.55%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -9.27%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 14:40
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 14:55
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.80%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -12.95%E -3.65%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 14:45
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -11.61%E -6.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.27%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.02%EV -7.38%E -4.22%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -10.92%E -2.76%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -10.50%E -2.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 13:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -7.91%E -4.55%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.82%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.15%EV -8.97%E -5.21%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -14.30%E -3.76%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -9.27%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 13:55
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.30%E -3.76%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.30%E -3.76%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.30%E -3.76%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 13:20
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.30%E -3.76%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.72%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 13:20
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -8.44%E -4.88%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -14.30%E -3.76%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -14.17%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 14:40
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.13%EV -9.50%E -5.55%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -15.43%E -4.11%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -9.27%E -2.51%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 13:45
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.02%EV -11.61%E -6.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -15.43%E -4.11%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -14.17%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-30 13:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.83%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-08-30 14:55
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%2.4%2026-08-30 14:55