Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tromso v Sandefjord

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tromso (Local)

Prediction 59.48%1.68fair odd
EV -4.83%
Edge -3.02%
Kelly -8.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.87%59.39%59.52%60.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.561.571.6068.97%64.05%63.69%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sandefjord (Visit)

Prediction 17.56%5.70fair odd
EV +0.951%
Edge +0.165%
Kelly +0.200%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.68%17.64%17.52%19.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.044.955.7522.22%19.83%20.20%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.96%4.36fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -0.849%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.15%22.97%22.96%25.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.943.904.2029.41%25.40%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tromso (Local): 59.48%; Sandefjord (Visit): 17.56%; Draw: 22.96%. For Sandefjord (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.70. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.951%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.42%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.71%EV +0.951%E +0.165%K +0.200%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.87%EV -3.57%E -0.849%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 11:55
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.94%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 16.93%EV -1.16%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -5.40%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 18:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.12%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -3.44%E -0.625%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -3.57%E -0.849%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.59%E -6.31%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -3.44%E -0.625%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 17:55
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.76%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.48%EV -3.97%E -0.725%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -3.57%E -0.849%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 18:34
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.03%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.34%EV -3.97%E -0.725%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.64%EV -3.80%E -0.906%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.76%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -5.19%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.75%EV -4.71%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:34
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.76%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -5.19%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.75%EV -4.71%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:35
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -5.19%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 21:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.81%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV -6.07%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.54%EV -6.95%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.54%EV -6.95%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:29
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 15:05
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 01:29
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 15:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 15:04
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 00:14
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -8.71%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 18:48
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -8.71%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 18:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.47%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -8.71%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -9.31%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 09:55
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.22%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -3.57%E -0.849%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 20:30
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.22%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:30
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -12.22%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -12.75%E -3.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 16:40
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -12.22%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 21:55
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.22%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 15:00
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.22%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -11.60%E -3.01%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-21 15:05
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -10.78%E -7.18%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -12.22%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -13.90%E -3.71%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 12:43
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:43
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:43
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:43
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.97%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.22%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -13.90%E -3.71%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-24 02:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 59.32%EV -13.75%E -9.48%K -30.55%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.74%EV -14.85%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.94%EV -13.90%E -3.71%K -5.05%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-21 09:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.75%E -3.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.75%E -3.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 15:00
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.75%E -3.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 15:04
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.75%E -3.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.78%E -7.18%K -21.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-21 09:55
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.90%E -3.71%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 15:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 58.98%EV -13.15%E -9.01%K -28.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.94%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.08%EV -14.36%E -3.85%K -5.26%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-21 09:55
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -16.61%E -3.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -11.60%E -3.01%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 16:44
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -16.61%E -3.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.75%E -3.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-20 07:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.45%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.11%EV -19.24%E -4.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -13.90%E -3.71%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 16:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.61%EV -11.97%E -8.08%K -24.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.86%EV -19.24%E -4.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.53%EV -11.60%E -3.01%K -4.07%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-24 01:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -21.00%E -4.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -21.93%E -6.45%K -9.14%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-23 15:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 59.04%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%11.4%2026-04-23 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 58.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 25.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 16.21%64.5%2026-04-23 22:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 58.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 25.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 16.21%64.5%2026-04-23 22:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 58.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 25.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 16.21%64.5%2026-04-23 22:05