L’École des cotes

Tromso v Sandefjord

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tromso (Local)

Prévision 59.48%1.68cote équitable
EV -4.83%
Avantage -3.02%
Kelly -8.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.87%59.39%59.52%60.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.561.571.6068.97%64.05%63.69%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sandefjord (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.56%5.70cote équitable
EV +0.951%
Avantage +0.165%
Kelly +0.200%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.68%17.64%17.52%19.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.044.955.7522.22%19.83%20.20%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.96%4.36cote équitable
EV -3.57%
Avantage -0.849%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.15%22.97%22.96%25.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.943.904.2029.41%25.40%25.64%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.42%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.71%EV +0.951%E +0.165%K +0.200%G +0.002%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.87%EV -3.57%E -0.849%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 11:55
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 59.94%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 16.93%EV -1.16%E -0.205%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -5.40%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 18:34
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.12%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -3.44%E -0.625%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -3.57%E -0.849%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 15:04
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.59%E -6.31%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -3.44%E -0.625%K -0.764%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 17:55
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.76%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.48%EV -3.97%E -0.725%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -3.57%E -0.849%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 18:34
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.03%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.34%EV -3.97%E -0.725%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.64%EV -3.80%E -0.906%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 16:50
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.76%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -5.19%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.75%EV -4.71%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:34
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.76%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -5.19%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.75%EV -4.71%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:35
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -5.19%E -0.962%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 21:54
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.81%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV -6.07%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 18:35
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.54%EV -6.95%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:29
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.54%EV -6.95%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 11:29
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 15:05
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -5.42%E -3.41%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 01:29
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 15:05
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 15:04
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -7.83%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 00:14
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -8.71%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 18:48
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -8.71%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 18:34
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.47%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -8.71%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -9.31%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 09:55
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.22%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -3.57%E -0.849%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 20:30
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.61%E -4.21%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -12.22%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 15:30
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -12.22%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -12.75%E -3.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 16:40
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -12.22%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 21:55
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.22%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 15:00
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.22%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -11.60%E -3.01%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-21 15:05
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -10.78%E -7.18%K -21.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -12.22%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -13.90%E -3.71%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 12:43
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:43
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:43
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:43
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:44
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -3.02%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.80%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:45
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 57.97%EV -8.40%E -5.45%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.22%EV -13.97%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -13.90%E -3.71%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-24 02:00
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.32%EV -13.75%E -9.48%K -30.55%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.74%EV -14.85%E -3.06%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.94%EV -13.90%E -3.71%K -5.05%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-21 09:55
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 16:45
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -6.02%E -3.81%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -10.45%E -2.68%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.75%E -3.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.75%E -3.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 15:00
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.75%E -3.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 15:04
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.80%E -5.03%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.75%E -3.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 15:05
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.78%E -7.18%K -21.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.16%E -2.04%K -2.72%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-21 09:55
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -13.90%E -3.71%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 15:04
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 58.98%EV -13.15%E -9.01%K -28.60%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.94%EV -15.73%E -3.28%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.08%EV -14.36%E -3.85%K -5.26%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-21 09:55
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -7.21%E -4.62%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.94%EV -16.61%E -3.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -11.60%E -3.01%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 16:44
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.98%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -16.61%E -3.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.75%E -3.36%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-20 07:39
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.45%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.11%EV -19.24%E -4.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -13.90%E -3.71%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 16:44
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.61%EV -11.97%E -8.08%K -24.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.86%EV -19.24%E -4.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.53%EV -11.60%E -3.01%K -4.07%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-24 01:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -8.99%E -5.88%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -21.00%E -4.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -21.93%E -6.45%K -9.14%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-23 15:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 59.04%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.95%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%11.4%2026-04-23 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 58.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 25.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 16.21%64.5%2026-04-23 22:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 58.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 25.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 16.21%64.5%2026-04-23 22:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 58.46%2.40I 41.67%NM 25.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 16.21%64.5%2026-04-23 22:05